World Matchplay Darts 2024 Betting Tips: Sean’s Boosted Double for the semis

The 2024 Betfred World Matchplay is into the semi-final stages and our tipster Sean Rafferty is in stunning form. Tonight, we have two cracking last-four matches between Michael Smith and Michael van Gerwen, as well as huge clash between Luke Humphries and James Wade.

Sean returns today with his World Matchplay Darts 2024 betting tips for day seven of the event, which you can check out below.

World Matchplay Darts Odds

*Please click on the link above to be taken to the main World Matchplay Darts page on betfred.com (or app) for all the live betting prices on this competition.

James Wade highest checkout over 120.5 @ 21/20

Wade surprised a few with his convincing 16-10 win over Ross Smith in the quarters, the only thing that really surprised me was the 13 180s he hit. A 100 average, solid doubles at 42 percent and three ton-plus checkouts helped him along the way. Tonight will be a different kettle of fish against the best player in the world right now, in my opinion.

Humphries made light work of Dimitri in the end last round, reeling off the last five legs to win 16-10. It was yet another ton plus average for Cool Hand which has become standard for him. He’s averaged 109, 102 and 101 in his matches so far this week, so it’s more of a surprise if he averages under a ton at this stage.

For me, he’ll just have too much scoring power for Wade – he has a strong record against The Machine and I expect him to keep this trend going. Since September 2021, Humphries has won eight of their nine meetings, with the most recent meeting being in March this year, where Cool Hand a 6-1 winner that day.

If Wade repeats his quarter-final performance then he should he able to at least compete with Humphries, but he needs Humphries to have an off night to have a chance of winning I’d say.

Over 5.5 Wade 180s was tempting after his maximum hitting against Smith, but I’m opting for the more reliable selection of Wade to hit a 121+ checkout, which he successfully managed for us in his quarter-final with an exact 121 checkout. He’s now hit a 121+ checkout in four of his last five matches.

In terms of longer format matches (first to 10+ legs or first to three sets) he’s managed a 121+ checkout in 12 of his last 15 matches in this format over the past 12 months. In first to 16+ legs matches over the same period, he’s achieved a 121+ checkout in all three of them – one of them being against Humphries.

The stats weigh massively in favour of him popping in this range of checkout so cracking value at 21/20.

Michael Van Gerwen highest checkout over 130.5 @ 20/21

I’m really finding this one tough to predict.

The head-to-head stats and even the more recent ones stack heavily in MVG’s favour, having won five of their six meetings in 2024. Smith’s win over MVG in the 2023 World Championship final was a bit of an outlier, but MVG has generally enjoyed the vast majority of their matchups.

I still find Van Gerwen very unpredictable and Smith has been tough to get right over the past 18 months so I’ve no interest in the win markets etc, the bookmakers are finding it tough to call too as they have priced it up pretty equally.

MVG still averaged 97 despite hitting less than 30 percent of his doubles, missing 38 doubles in total, which emphasises how good his scoring was against Gilding. Smith almost had a free pass in his quarter-final due to Cross’ inability to hit a double for the majority of the match. Smith started well but lost his way a bit late on, however he still averaged 96.

The 180s market also look tricky to call. Smith is renowned as a more prolific 180 hitter, but MVG is averaging 0.29 180s per leg compared to Smith’s 0.28 per leg over the last 12 months, which may surprise a few.

So, I’m going to focus on a player nailing a big checkout – this time I’m going for MVG to hit a checkout over 130.5 at near even money.

He’s managed to hit a 131+ checkout in all three of his matches this week so far, and with this being an longer format, it’ll likely be the most legs he’ll have played in a match this week by a distance, so there’ll be plenty of opportunities to nail a big one. I think evens is a good bet here for this outcome.

We’ve managed to get this double boosted from 3/1 to 7/2!

Darts Odds

Offers

Betfred World Matchplay (13/07 – 21/07): We are playing 4 places on the Betfred World Matchplay at 1/4 odds. (Available from 12:30 Thursday 04/07).

Betfred World Matchplay (13/07 – 21/07): We will be Top Price or joint Top Price on Luke Humphries to win the Betfred World Matchplay Darts with selected bookmakers using oddschecker.com for the comparison (Available from 09:30 Friday).

Betfred World Matchplay (13/07 – 21/07): Bet on any player to win the Betfred World Matchplay Darts, and if they win and hit a 9 Dart Finish during the tournament, we’ll double your odds!

You can find all our darts tipster Sean Rafferty’s latest Darts Betting Tips on our main Insights content hub.