- NASCAR continues into June with the Toyota Save Mart 350 set to run on Sunday, June 11th, 2023, in Sonoma, CA
- The contending favorites include Chase Elliott, Martin Truex Jr., Christopher Bell, and Kyle Larson
- Below are the Toyota Save Mart 350 predictions, picks, and betting odds ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race
NASCAR rumbles its way into Madison, Illinois for the fifteenth race of the 2023 season. Gateway is a 1.25-mile oval with 11 degree banking in turns one and two then nine degrees in turns three and four. The race distance totals 300 miles (240 laps). What chaos may come on Sunday afternoon?
This weekend’s race is a week after the lightning-delayed Enjoy Illinois 300 where Kyle Busch took advantage of the cooler track conditions to edge out Denny Hamlin. Hamlin was by far among the fastest racers along with Martin Truex Jr. during the early portions of the race.
The table below lists the complete slate of NASCAR Cup Series odds for the Toyota Save Mart 350 from Sonoma (win, podium finish, and top-five finish). Under the table, find the Sonoma predictions and best bets for this weekend’s NASCAR action.
NASCAR Toyota Save Mart 350 Odds
Driver | Odds to Win | Podium Finish Odds | Top Five Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Tyler Reddick | +450 | +130 | -165 |
Kyle Larson | +500 | +140 | -150 |
Chase Elliott | +500 | +140 | -150 |
William Byron | +850 | +250 | +110 |
Ross Chastain | +900 | +275 | +120 |
Kyle Busch | +900 | +275 | +120 |
Daniel Suarez | +1600 | +450 | +200 |
A.J. Allmendinger | +1600 | +450 | +200 |
Austin Cindric | +1800 | +500 | +225 |
Chris Buescher | +2000 | +550 | +250 |
Kevin Harvick | +2500 | +600 | +300 |
Christopher Bell | +2500 | +700 | +300 |
Alex Bowman | +2800 | +800 | +350 |
Martin Truex Jr. | +3000 | +850 | +380 |
Ryan Blaney | +3500 | +900 | +400 |
Joey Logano | +3500 | +900 | +400 |
Denny Hamlin | +4000 | +1000 | +550 |
Brad Keselowski | +4000 | +1000 | +500 |
Michael McDowell | +4500 | +1000 | +550 |
Chase Briscoe | +5000 | +1100 | +600 |
Ty Gibbs | +5500 | +1400 | +650 |
Tyler Reddick enters this race yet as a +450 favorite with Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott close behind. However, four other drivers come in at +900 or shorter. Last week’s race winner Kyle Busch is at +900. Expect this Sunday to be mostly calm and mild.
NASCAR drivers get around the track with a 25-30-55 stage lap setup when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning again after 3:30 pm ET on FOX.
Odds as of June 7th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Lock in this DraftKings promo code to bet on the Toyota/SaveMart 350 or check out other sportsbook promo codes.
Hendrick Looks Poised for Revenge
Naturally, the Hendrick Motorsports Racing looked great for quite awhile at Charlotte and even Illinois. However, Kyle Larson took a long while to get going. Eventually, he finished fourth but the first half of the race was anything but pleasant. Last year at Sonoma, Larson got caught out in a bad pit stop and a few issues as he slipped from the top spot early and outside the top ten. Expect Hendrick to be 1-2 in qualifying. Chase Elliott and Kyle Larson tested that way earlier in the year.
So, Caesars Sportsbook drops some slightly different numbers. For one, Tyler Reddick is +500, but Kyle Busch lies at +800 while Chris Buescher lurks at +2000. Buescher likes this Sonoma road course but. Early speed favors Larson, Byron, and the Hendricks but late speed intervals may bring the Fords and a Chevy or two into focus.
Toyota Save Mart 350 Recent Winners
Year | Race Winner | Pole Position | Most Laps Led |
---|---|---|---|
2022 | Daniel Suarez – Trackhouse Racing | Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing | Daniel Suarez – Trackhouse Racing |
2021 | Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing | Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing | Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing |
2021* – The race was under the 2.52 mile layout. 2022 and 2023 are under the 1.99 err more or less two mile layout.
Chevy Chevy and More Chevy with a Twist or Two
While Hendrick is considered likely to win again, should they? NASCAR Cup Series odds still rides with Chevy (five of the top six drivers now). That is led by Kyle Larson and now Kyle Busch. Denny Hamlin and William Byron are right there along with Ross Chastain.
Correlation is interesting here. Sonoma is more like a technical road course. Think of a place like Watkins Glen plus COTA and that is why Tyler Reddick (+500 on Caesars) has to be watched. Keep in mind how drivers race in all road courses too. Cooler track conditions should be monitored too.
Practice begins Saturday evening with a 60-minute session. Saturday qualifying begins at 6:00 pm ET. Expect easier track conditions.
Toyota Save Mart 350 from Sonoma Predictions & Picks
So, Saturday and Sunday look mild and dry. That is great news. Expect qualifying as Sunday temperatures will be in the lower 70’s.
Can Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, and William Byron stay up front? Better yet, does Trackhouse make an impact like last year? After all, Daniel Suarez won the race. Kyle Larson seeks revenge and may just get it. At the very least, take his odds for the pole.
Again, the weather will be close to perfect! For head-to-head driver matchups, Daniel Suarez over Ross Chastain at -105. Keep an eye for more on social media this weekend.
Here are our best bets:
- Top Pick: Kyle Larson to Win (+500)
- Other Contenders: Chase Elliott (+550), William Byron (+850), Kyle Busch (+900), Daniel Suarez (+1600)
- Longshots: Martin Truex Jr. (+3000), Joey Logano (+3500)
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