• Kamala Harris has overtaken Joe Biden in the 2024 US Election odds
• Despite the odds shift, Biden is favored to be the 2024 Democratic nominee
• Read below for the latest US Election odds and what they mean for the race

Oddsmakers now say Kamala Harris has a better chance than Joe Biden at winning the 2024 US Election. Harris’s odds have surged following Biden’s lackluster performance in the presidential debate against former President Donald Trump.

Despite Harris now having better odds to be president than Biden, oddsmakers are listing the current president as the favorite to be the Democrats’ nominee. This interesting dynamic can offer insight into what might transpire leading up to November.

Let’s dive into the latest US Election odds and analyze what they mean for this all-important race.

US Election Odds 2024

In the updated US Election odds for 2024, Donald Trump is the heavy -175 favorite to return to office. This is a 63.6% chance of the 78-year-old being elected.

Odds as of July 4th, at Bet365 Sportsbook. Register with the Bet365 promo code to wager on the 2024 US Election.

Harris Overtakes Biden in Election Odds

Kamala Harris has surpassed Joe Biden in the 2024 Election odds following a lackluster performance from the 81-year-old in the presidential debate against Trump. A CNN snap poll showed viewers thought Trump decisively won the debate, 67% to 33%.

Concerns about Biden’s age, cognitive abilities, and overall fitness for office have fueled speculation that he may withdraw from the race before the Democratic convention. A leaked video on social media shows Trump saying Harris will be the Democrats’ nominee.

BREAKING: Leaked video shows Donald Trump saying he thinks Kamala Harris will be the Democrat nominee, says she is “so f**king bad.”

“She’s so bad. She’s so pathetic. She’s just so f**king bad.”

“How did I do with the debate the other night? I kicked that old, broken down pile… pic.twitter.com/8OKxd1hHc6

— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) July 4, 2024

While nothing is official at the time of publishing, sportsbooks believe there is a strong possibility of Harris becoming the Dems’ presidential nominee. So much so, that they are listing her with superior odds than Biden to win the election.

Harris’s implied chance at winning the election is 20%, while Biden’s is 13.3%. Despite the upheaval on the Democratic side, Donald Trump remains the overall favorite to win back the White House in November.

Odds to Be 2024 Democratic Candidate

Joe Biden remains favored to be the Democratic nomination with odds of +125, which is 44.4% implied probability.

Biden Remains Favored in Democrat Odds

While Harris has better odds to win the election than Biden, the Democratic party nominee odds still show “Sleepy Joe” as the Dems’ presidential candidate’s favorite. Harris briefly overtook Biden as the betting favorite to be the Democrats’ candidate on Wednesday but is back to being the underdog.

Biden remaining favored to be the Democrats’ candidate but having worse overall election odds than Harris tells us something. Oddsmakers believe the Dems have to make the change to have the best chance of taking down Trump in November.

If Harris were to become the nominee, she would likely have access to Biden’s substantial campaign war chest, which experts say can only be transferred to her as the presidential nominee, not the vice-presidential pick.

However, Harris would also face scrutiny over her own disappointing approval ratings as VP. Some Democrats privately worry she lacks the political skills to defeat Trump. Still, a CNN/SSRS poll found Harris losing to Trump by only 2 points (45% to 47%), while Biden was trailing by 6 points (43% to 49%).

So, as calls for Biden’s exit grow louder, Kamala Harris has clearly emerged as the Democrat with the best odds of defeating Donald Trump if a change at the top of the ticket occurs.

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