- The UTSA Roadrunners are 16-point home favorites over the South Florida Bulls in their college football game on Friday, November 17
- UTSA is 6-0 SU in conference in American Athletic Conference play this season
- South Florida is 2-18 SU over the school’s past 20 road games
It’s a new conference this season for the UTSA Roadrunners (9-3, 4-5-1 ATS), but as they play host to the South Florida Bulls (5-5, 5-5 ATS), the outcome is heading toward the same result as last season.
UTSA went 8-0 straight up in conference play last season to win the Conference USA title. The Roadrunners are 6-0 SU so far in conference play since switching this season to the American Athletic Conference and tied for the conference lead.
Things aren’t going nearly as well for South Florida. The Bulls are 3-3 SU in the conference. They’re also 5-15 SU in their last 20 games.
It’s no surprise then that oddsmakers are setting the Roadrunners as the 16-point home chalk in the South Florida vs UTSA odds. The Roadrunners are 4-1-1 ATS over their last six games.
Let’s take a deep dive into the South Florida vs UTSA odds and offer you our prediction for this Week 12 clash of AAC rivals.
South Florida vs UTSA Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida Bulls | +550 | +16 (-110) | Over 66.5 (-110) |
| UTSA Roadrunners | -800 | -16 (-110) | Under 66.5 (-110) |
In the South Florida vs UTSA odds, the Roadrunners are -800 moneyline favorites, giving them a 88.89% implied win probability. The total is set at 66.5 points. All three UTSA games this season with a total that high have gone under.
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This is the first-ever meeting between these two schools. UTSA is 4-1 SU at home this season. South Florida is 2-3 SU on the road.
Kickoff for this game at the Alamodome on Friday, November 17 is set for 9:00 pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by ESPN2.
Bulls vs Roadrunners Betting Trends
The college football public betting splits, bettors are ready to go with the Roadrunners when it comes to this game. In spread splits, there’s 51% of handle and 57% of bets backing UTSA. The Roadrunners have covered in four of the past six games after launching the campaign 0-4 ATS.
Moneyline splits are also with UTSA and in a big way. The Roadrunners are getting 88% of handle and 94% of bets. UTSA has gone 6-0 SU after opening the season 1-3.
Neither of these teams are dynamos when it comes to going over, so it’s surprising that there’s division among the people on the total splits. The under is pulling 55% of handle, while 56% of bets are going on the over. UTSA is 3-7 on the total this season, while South Florida is 5-5.
UTSA is the third betting choice to win the AAC title in the NCAA conference odds at +550.
Watch Out For This UTSA Traylor
Texas A&M is interested in UTSA head coach Jeff Traylor to fill their vacant coaching position and it’s no wonder why. Looking at his numbers with the Roadrunners, they’re all trending in the right direction.
Per @kbohls, UTSA head coach Jeff Traylor has interviewed for the Texas A&M job. pic.twitter.com/WtecnROiHw
— Unnecessary Roughness (@UnnecRoughness) November 17, 2023
UTSA is 22-3 SU (.880) at the Alamodome under Traylor. The Roadrunners have won 20 of their last 22 home games. They’ve won 16 straight conference games going back to 2021, posting a 17-0 SU home conference slate with Traylor in charge.
The Roadrunners are 37-13 SU (.740) during the Traylor era. That’s the most wins and best winning percentage by a UTSA head coach in school history. UTSA is also 19-1 SU in November and 6-3 SU on Fridays with Traylor in charge.
South Florida Driven By Offense
South Florida is driven by a powerful offense. The Bulls are averaging 453.4 yards per game, which is good for 18th in the NCAA. Running the ball, South Florida is gaining 188.8 yards per game on the ground. That’s 26th in the nation.
Trey Moore going #BACK2BACK! #210TriangleOfToughness#LetsGo210 | #BirdsUp 🤙 pic.twitter.com/7l2xsosiwn
— UTSA Football 🏈 (@UTSAFTBL) November 12, 2023
In the passing game, Bulls QB Byrum Brown is throwing for 253.8 yards per game, which ranks him 34th in the country. However, he’ll need to be protected from Roadrunners LB Trey Moore. With 14 sacks, Moore is leading the nation and is a half-sack away from the school record.
South Florida vs UTSA Prediction
UTSA has already won three games this season by margins of 19+ points and the Roadrunners will make it four times here.
UTSA has won three home games in a row. Meanwhile, South Florida is 2-18 SU over the school’s past 20 road games.
South Florida vs UTSA Pick: USTA Roadrunners -16 (-110)
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