- Holding down the final AL Wild Card, the Boston Red Sox finish off a three-game series with the arch-rival New York Yankees on Sunday Night Baseball
- Boston sends Kutter Crawford to the mound while the Yankees counter with Luis Gil
- Below, find the Red Sox vs Yankees picks, predictions, and player props to target for July 7, 2024
Sunday Night Baseball on July 7 has cued up a classic as the Boston Red Sox (48-40, 28-17 away) finish off a three-game series with the New York Yankees (55-36, 25-18 home) at 7:10 pm ET at Yankee Stadium.
The AL East rivals have split the first two games, with Boston taking the opener 5-3 on Friday – coming back from 3-1 down in the ninth inning – and the Pinstripes answering back with a crushing 14-4 win on Saturday.
With Luis Gil on the mound opposite Boston’s Kutter Crawford, New York is favored to win the rubber match, but Sunday’s Red Sox vs Yankees odds are tight.
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox (K. Crawford) | +112 | +1.5 (-192) | O 8.5 (-110) |
| New York Yankees (L Gil) | -132 | +1.5 (+124) | U 8.5 (-110) |
New York is listed at -132 on the moneyline, with Boston a +112 road underdog. The over/under has been set at 8.5 runs with -110 odds both ways.
Odds as of July 7 at FanDuel. New users can claim a FanDuel sign-up bonus to use on Sunday Night Baseball on July 7.
The Yankees (+550) have slipped to third in the 2024 World Series odds, trailing both the Dodgers (+320) and MLB-leading Phillies (+500). Boston is 13th at +5500.
Yankees Crush Red Sox to End Four-Game Skid
New York entered Saturday’s game on a four-game losing streak, tying their longest of the season. They exorcised some frustrations with a 14-4 win which included seven-run fifth inning. Rookie first baseman Ben Rice went 3-5 with seven RBI including a three-run homer. Alex Verdugo also went yard for the Yankees. Rafael Devers had the only longball for Boston.
Making just his fourth start of an injury-shortened season, New York ace Gerrit Cole continued to look less than 100%, allowing four runs on seven hits and two walks over just 4.1 innings of work. The reigning AL Cy Young-winner now has a 6.75 ERA and 1.62 WHIP this year.
Red Sox vs Yankees Probable Pitchers for Sunday Night Baseball
Both teams are apt to feel confident in their Sunday starters. Boston’s Kutter Crawford has an ugly 4-7 win-loss record but his 3.89 xERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 25.2% strikeout percentage portend better things for the 28-year-old righty.
Sunday will be Crawford’s second start of the season against New York. In the first, he went a solid 6.0 innings, allowing three runs on just three hits (two homers) and a walk with nine strikeouts. Over his three-year career, he’s limited the (current) Yankee lineup to a .132 average and .514 OPS over 53 total ABs.
Aaron Judge has taken Crawford deep twice, while Jose Trevino is the only other Yankee with a home run off him.
Crawford’s last start was a gem, albeit against the light-hitting Marlins. He tossed 6.0 innings of three-hit, one-run ball in an 8-3 Boston victory.
Kutter Crawford vs Luis Gil
| 4-7 | Record | 9-4 |
| 3.42 | ERA | 3.41 |
| 3.89 | xERA | 3.47 |
| 1.11 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| 25.2% | K% | 27.4% |
Still technically a rookie despite making big-league appearances in 2021 and 2022, Luis Gil has been the de facto ace of the New York staff this year. He is tied for the team lead in wins with nine and has a team-high 10.2 K/9. He has a sharp 3.41 ERA and an xERA to match (3.47).
He was good (but not great) in his only start against Boston so far this season, going 5.0 innings while allowing four hits, four walks, and one run with six Ks in an 8-1 New York win.
In total, Boston hitters have accumulated 26 at-bats against Gil with an ugly .192 average and .532 OPS. No one has taken him yard and Enmanuel Valdez has the only extra-base hit (a double).
Red Sox vs Yankees Predictions
The way both starters have dominated the opposition hitters, my lean is to a first-half under on Sunday Night Baseball. FanDuel lists under 4.5 at -102 and under 3.5 at a tantalizing +172 price tag.
The Yankees have been fortunate to have call-ups like Rice perform well in their first big-league experience, but this is still a lineup that’s reeling from injuries. Giancarlo Stanton, Anthony Rizzo, and Gleyber Torres are all out (though Torres’ status for Sunday is unclear), and that’s a big part of why the Yankees have ceded first-place in the AL East to Baltimore over the past few weeks.
BOS vs NYY picks:
- First 5 innings under 3.5 (+172 at FanDuel)
- Crawford over 5.5 Ks (-105 at DraftKings)
- DJ LeMahieu under 0.5 hits (+125)
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