• We’ve made our Raiders vs Chiefs prediction for Black Friday
• The latest LV vs KC odds favor Mahomes and company by nearly two scores
• Read below for Raiders vs Chiefs prediction, player props, odds and SGP for Nov. 29

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-9) travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (10-1) in an AFC West matchup on Black Friday. Both teams are heading in opposite directions, with the Chiefs surging toward another division title while the Raiders are fighting to salvage their season.

The Raiders enter off a disappointing 29-19 loss to the Denver Broncos, their seventh straight defeat. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have won four of their last five, most recently escaping with a narrow 30-27 victory over the Carolina Panthers.

Here is a look at our Raiders vs. Chiefs prediction, along with the betting lines for this Friday afternoon showdown.

Raiders vs Chiefs Prediction

Despite their impressive 10-1 record, the Chiefs have struggled to put teams away and cover large spreads consistently. Kansas City is just 4-6-1 ATS this season and has won seven of their 10 games by seven points or fewer. This trend continued last week against Carolina, as the Chiefs failed to cover as 10.5-point favorites in a narrow 30-27 victory.

The Raiders, on the other hand, have managed to keep games relatively close during their seven-game losing streak. Las Vegas is 4-2 against the spread in their last six contests, including a 27-20 loss to the Chiefs in Week 8 as 8.5-point underdogs.

Who’s ready to see the Condor fly around Arrowhead?

Presented by @PPG pic.twitter.com/Lxm05OGjl3

— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) November 29, 2024

Kansas City’s secondary showed some vulnerabilities in their narrow escape against Carolina last week, allowing Panthers’ quarterback Bryce Young to throw for over 260 yards and a touchdown. The Chiefs rank just 23rd in pass defense, surrendering 220.2 yards per game through the air.

If the Raiders can exploit these weaknesses and establish their short passing game, they have a chance to keep this one within the 13.5-point spread. Look for the Raiders to lean heavily on rookie tight end Brock Bowers, who has emerged as a primary target with 74 receptions for 744 yards and three TDs.

Why isn’t Brock Bowers in the conversation for Offensive Rookie of the Year? pic.twitter.com/Sz4tg4uHIL

— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) November 28, 2024

Bowers ‘ ability to create mismatches could be key against a Chiefs defense that has struggled to contain opposing tight ends. Surpsinginyl, KC allows the most receiving yards to the position in the NFL.

While the Chiefs should ultimately prevail, the Raiders have shown enough fight in recent weeks to suggest they can keep this game competitive. Expect Las Vegas to employ a ball-control approach, leaning on Bowers and Abdullah to move the chains and shorten the game.

Black Friday NFL Pick:

• Raiders +13.5 (-110)

Raiders vs Chiefs Player Props

Here are some player props worth considering for the Raiders vs. Chiefs game. All these player props are from DraftKings Sportsbook, but definitely shop around NFL betting apps to find the best lines before placing your wagers.

Bowers has been the Raiders’ most consistent offensive weapon this season. With O’Connell back under center, expect Bowers to see a high volume of targets against a Chiefs defense that has struggled to contain tight ends. In the last meeting, Bowers caught five passes for 74 yards. Look for him to exceed 6.5 receptions on Friday.

Jakobi Meyers has emerged as the Raiders’ top wide receiver, coming off a 10-catch, 121-yard performance against the Broncos. With the Raiders likely playing from behind, Meyers should see plenty of targets as O’Connell’s go-to option. The over 5.5 receptions is a solid bet.

Jakobi Meyers pic.twitter.com/RnAbrS9a01

— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 14, 2024

On the Chiefs side, Kareem Hunt under 41.5 rushing yards prop stands out to me. With the expected return of Isiah Pacheco from injury, Hunt’s workload could be significantly reduced.

The last time Pacheco was active, he handled 34 carries across two games, which would cut into Hunt’s volume. Additionally, if the game stays competitive as I predict, the Chiefs may not lean as heavily on their running game, favoring a more balanced attack.

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Las Vegas vs KC Odds

The Chiefs are 13.5-point home favorites with a total of 42.5 points. The lopsided odds are a reflection of the stark contrast between these teams’ records and play. Kansas City sits atop the AFC West at 10-1, while Las Vegas dwells in the cellar at 2-9. The Raiders have lost seven straight, with their last victory coming in Week 4.

The Raiders’ moneyline of +500 implies just a 16.7% win probability, while the Chiefs’ -800 price translates to an 88.9% chance of victory.

Odds as of Nov. 29 at ESPN Sportsbook. Grab an ESPN Bet promo code to wager on Black Friday NFL football. 

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Despite the large spread, bettors have shown some interest in backing the Raiders, with 53% of spread bets on Las Vegas. The total has seen 82% of bets on the over, but the number has actually dropped a point from 42.5 to 41.5.

The Chiefs won the previous meeting 27-20 in Week 8, narrowly covering as 8.5-point road favorites. However, that game was closer than the final score suggests, with Las Vegas leading 10-7 at halftime and only a last-minute touchdown sealing the win for Kansas City.

Chiefs vs Raiders Same-Game Parlay

For an intriguing same-game parlay with long odds, consider the following:

• Raiders +13.5 (-110)
• Brock Bowers Over 6.5 receptions (+120)
• Under 41.5 points (-110)

Parlay odds as of Nov. 29 at Bet365 Sportsbook. Create your own NFL SGP by registering with the Bet365 bonus code.

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There is value in this same game parlay for a few reasons:

1. The Raiders have consistently played the Chiefs tough, including their narrow 27-20 loss in Week 8. Las Vegas keeping this within 13.5 points aligns with KC’s struggles to cover big numbers.
2. Bowers should see high volume against a defense that is vulnerable to tight ends. His connection with O’Connell and the Raiders’ likely pass-heavy approach in catch-up mode bode well for the over on his receptions prop.
3. These AFC West rivals have been playing some dog fights lately – the Raiders because their offense still can’t get out of first gear, and the Chiefs because they’re not the same offensive juggernaut we’re used to seeing. A low-scoring slugfest feels right for the Under.

This +600 lottery ticket could make your Friday a whole lot better if all three legs come through. Like any parlay, it’s a swing for the fences, but sometimes those home runs are worth taking a hack at.

The post Raiders vs Chiefs Prediction, Player Props & Odds for Black Friday appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.