Portugal vs Slovenia Bet Builder Tips: Ronaldo to rise up in Frankfurt

Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt plays host to the Euro 2024 last-16 tie between Portugal and Slovenia on Monday night (20:00, BBC One), with a quarter-final against either France or Belgium waiting for the winner.

Read below for my Portugal vs Slovenia bet builder tips ahead of just the second-ever meeting between these sides, with the latter emerging surprise 2-0 winners in March’s friendly match in Ljubljana.

Euro 2024 Odds

Portugal vs Slovenia Odds

*Please click on the link above to be taken to the main Portugal vs Slovenia page on betfred.com (or app) for all the live betting prices on this match.

Both teams to score – No (90 mins)

This selection landed in March as Slovenia sprung a surprise in Ljubljana, with Adam Gnezda Cerin and Timi Max Elsnik scoring the goals for the hosts as they kept out Cristiano Ronaldo and co.

I don’t think the Portuguese will be denied again, however, with that game marking Roberto Martinez’s first goalless game in charge, and the first time he had failed to oversee a victory.

The second goalless game of his reign came in Wednesday’s 2-0 defeat to Georgia, but the Spaniard made wholesale changes for that game as Portugal were already through to the last 16 as group winners, while their opponents had everything to play for in their attempts to join them in the knockout round.

We should see a more familiar Portugal starting XI on Monday, with the likes of Pepe and Ruben Dias offering proper protection to goalkeeper Diogo Costa.

Portugal did concede in their opening group game, going down 1-0 before recovering to steal a 2-1 win in added time, but they shut out Turkey in a 3-0 victory, a clean sheet that looks even more impressive considering the five goals Turkey have scored across their other two matches.

Slovenia went undefeated in the group stage, drawing all three games with Denmark, Serbia (both 1-1) and England (0-0), scoring in their first two before blanking in their third as they opted to play cautiously and bank on three points and a zero goal difference taking them to the last 16, which it did.

They certainly have players that can hurt Portugal, particularly Benjamin Sesko, but the RB Leipzig striker is yet to score at Euro 2024 and both of their goals have come from full-backs, the first a heavily deflected strike from long range.

Slovenia are unlikely to see much of the ball against Portugal, and they will have to be efficient when they do get it.

Ultimately, I see a Portugal win to nil on Monday, but adding A Seleção das Quinas to win doesn’t increase the odds, so BTTS – No it is for the first leg of this bet builder.

Cristiano Ronaldo anytime scorer

If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again. That seems to have been the motto for the entirety of Ronaldo’s career, and he hasn’t abandoned that approach heading into his latter years.

The Al-Nassr marksman is the only outfield Portugal player to have started all three Euro 2024 games, but the 39-year-old is yet to score in the competition, despite averaging four shots per game.

It feels like only a matter of time before he does find the net, however, which spells bad news for Slovenia, and all those of an anti-‘siiuuu’ disposition.

Anytime Goalscorer Extra Time: Place a bet on the Anytime Goalscorer market on a Euro 2024 knockout match and if your player scores in extra time Betfred will pay you out as a winner.

Total corners – over 8.5 (90 mins)

Alongside Germany, Portugal were the group stage corner kings, with both countries taking 25 corners across their three games. Portugal took 13 without reply against the Czech Republic before beating Turkey and Georgia 9-1 and 11-1 on corners respectively. That’s at least 10 in every game, which is one more than the minimum we require for the above selection to land on Monday.

Slovenia are no strangers to a corner themselves, taking five against Denmark and four against Serbia, with those contests serving up a total of 14 and 13 respectively. The corner count went down dramatically against England as the Three Lions were responsible for taking all six corners, but that felt like an outlier given both sides only needed a draw to complete their objectives.

Place an In-Play bet of £10 or more odds of 1/2+ on the 5pm KO (France vs Belgium) at Euro 2024 and get £5 in Free Bets to use In-Play on the 8pm KO (Portugal vs Slovenia).

GOAL FEVER – Place a Match Result single bet (Pre-Match), and if your team wins by 3 or more goals in selected matches, we’ll pay a 25% cash bonus on top of your winnings!

You can read all our latest Euro 2024 Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights content hub.