- Oregon and Ohio State set for massive CFP quarterfinal rematch at the Rose Bowl
- Opening Ohio State vs Oregon odds favor the Buckeyes by a slim margin in Pasadena
- Read below for Oregon vs Ohio State odds, spread and early prediction
It’s the rematch college football fans have been waiting for. Ohio State and Oregon will battle in the CFP quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl after the Buckeyes dismantled Tennessee in Round 1 of the CFP Playoff.
Opening Oregon vs Ohio State odds hit the board moments after the matchup was set Saturday night. This game will kickoff on January 1st at 6pm ET on ABC and ESPN.
Let’s take a look at the opening Ohio State vs Oregon odds and provide our early Rose Bowl prediction.
Opening Ohio State vs Oregon Odds
Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Ohio State Buckeyes | -1.5 (-106) | -111 | O 53.5 (-115) |
Oregon Ducks | +1.5 (-114) | -108 | U 53.5 (-105) |
The early betting line for the Rose Bowl prices Ohio State as a slight -1.5 favorites, meaning Ryan Day’s team has 54% implied win probability to advance to the semis.
The Ducks are the No. 1 seed in the CFP Playoff Bracket and earned a first-round bye. Therefore, they will have had nearly a full month to rest up for this showdown.
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In the first matchup, Ohio State closed as 3-point favorites after opening at -3.5. That game was played in Autzen, and typically, teams get 2-3 added points for home-field advantage.
Oregon will have a rest advantage over Ohio State in the Rose Bowl, which is likely factored into the betting line. However, OSU will still have 10 days to recover and prepare for this game.
Buckeyes Seeking Revenge
Ohio State enters this quarterfinal matchup with revenge on their mind after dropping a thriller to Oregon earlier this season. The Ducks escaped with a 32-31 win in Autzen, barely outgaining the Buckeyes 496-467.
OSU’s only other loss came in a crushing 13-10 defeat to rival Michigan in Week 13, costing them a shot at the conference title. But the Buckeyes seem to have their swagger back, stomping Tennessee 42-10 in Round 1. Their defense completely shut down the Vols’ high-powered offense, holding UT to 187 yards.
Defense appreciation post. pic.twitter.com/yaruqwtuin
— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) December 22, 2024
The best news for Ohio State fans might be how involved rookie sensation Jeriamah Smith was in the offense. The 17-year-old stud hauled in two touchdown passes and racked up 100+ receiving yards against Tennessee. This is a huge improvement on his 35 air yards vs Michigan.
We know Ohio State has weapons on offense, and they just dropped more points on Tennessee than any team this year. But defensively, they must find ways to slow down Dillon Gabriel and the Duvks’ playmakers in the Rose Bowl.
The Buckeyes got after Tennessee QB Nico Iamaleava in Round 1, but Gabriel is a different animal entirely. The former Oklahoma transfer is the most experienced QB in the country and finished as a Heisman finalist. Oregon neutralized Ohio State’s pass rush in the October meeting, with J.T. Tuimoloau and Jack Sawyer recording no sacks.
Can Ducks Do it Twice?
Oregon rolls into this quarterfinal showdown as the nation’s lone unbeaten at 13-0. While they’ve already proven they can hang with the Buckeyes after that 32-31 win on October 12, beating an elite program twice in one season is a tall task.
The Ducks’ offense has been electric, ranking 2nd in EPA per play while averaging 7.8 yards per snap. Transfer QB Dillon Gabriel continues to shine, most recently carving up Penn State for four TDs in Oregon’s 45-37 Big Ten title game victory.
Oregon’s offensive balance is what keeps coordinators up at night. Tez Johnson, fresh off torching Penn State for a Big Ten Championship record 181 receiving yards, stretches defenses vertically. Add in Jordan James’ running dominance, and you’ve got a nightmare to gameplan against.
The Ducks’ defense has quietly impressed too, giving up just 16.2 points per game. They’ll need another strong showing against a Buckeyes offense that found its groove against Tennessee.
Early Ohio State vs Oregon Prediction
When elite programs meet in a rematch of a one-point game, taking the points becomes mighty tempting. Oregon’s perfect record and conference title are impressive, and they’ve already proven they can take down this OSU powerhouse.
The Buckeyes admittedly look rejuvenated after blanking Tennessee, and revenge will be a motivator. But this Ducks offense has been virtually unstoppable behind Dillon Gabriel, ranking 2nd in EPA per play with weapons all over the field.
CAN’T WAIT FOR THIS ROSE BOWL MATCHUP
Who is coming out on top, Ohio State or Oregon? pic.twitter.com/ZQAarceFsy
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) December 22, 2024
While Oregon’s defense had some rough moments against Penn State last week, they still found a way to make crucial stops when it mattered most, including that game-sealing interception.
The opening line of Ohio State -1.5 tells you everything you need to know about how evenly matched these powerhouses are. In what should be another nail-biter, getting points with an undefeated Oregon team that’s already won this matchup feels like the right side.
- Early Rose Bowl Pick: Oregon +1.5
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