NFL Week 11 Predictions: Straight Up & Against the Spread Picks for Every Game

Week 10 didn’t go too badly for our NFL tipsters…

Adam had a cracking week, going 9-5 when picking against the spread and 8-6 straight up, followed closely by Neil who went 8-6 against the spread and 7-7 straight up. For our full season-long record check out the bottom of the article. Please read on for all of our NFL Week 11 Picks & Predictions…

Four teams have a bye this week, so there are 14 games to cover…

*Odds accurate as of 09:00, Wednesday 15 November, 2023

Bye Teams: Falcons, Colts, Patriots & Saints.

Week 11 NFL Picks & Predictions:

Friday – 01:15AM:

Game 1: Bengals (+3.5) @ Ravens

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Bengals 
• Alan: Ravens
• Jonny: Bengals
• Neil: Ravens
  

Money Line: Ravens 8/15 & Bengals 6/4

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Ravens
• Alan: Ravens
• Jonny: Bengals
• Neil: Ravens
  

Comments: An interesting matchup this one, as both teams are coming off the back of disappointing losses.

The Ravens won the Week 2 clash at Cincinnati and their running game has been sensational so far this season, leading the league in rushing yards.

However, I think the difference here could be the Bengals defense. Cincinnati have been winning the turnover battle all season, forcing 18 turnovers so far and committing just 10 themselves.

In addition, the offense is starting to click after a slow start, averaging 354.2 yards over their past five outings. – Jonny

Sunday – 18:00

Game 2: Cowboys (-10.5) @ Panthers

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Cowboys
• Alan: Cowboys
• Jonny: Panthers
• Neil: Panthers
  

Money Line: Cowboys 1/5 & Panthers 19/5

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Cowboys
• Alan: Cowboys
• Jonny: Cowboys
• Neil: Cowboys
  

Comments: Fairly straightforward one this – can anyone see anything other than a Dallas win?

I do fancy the Panthers can cover the spread, although the Cowboys did cover a 15.5-point spread last weekend in their 49-17 rout of the Giants. Carolina’s offense struggled against the Bears, so it’ll need to improve on Sunday.

Whisper it quietly, but could this be the year for ‘America’s Team’? – Jonny

Game 3: Steelers (+4.5) @ Browns

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Browns
• Alan: Browns
• Jonny: Browns
• Neil: Browns
  

Money Line: Browns 1/2 & Steelers 13/8

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Browns
• Alan: Browns
• Jonny: Browns
• Neil: Browns
  

Comments: This is the second of two big AFC North match-ups this week, with everything to play for in the division.

Both sides are on 6-3, both sides are coming off back-to-back wins, so it’s perhaps a surprise to see Cleveland as big as 4.5 favourites.

That said, I’m taking the Browns to win this one fairly comfortably, their defence is legit and Deshaun Watson is a far more credible threat than Kenny Pickett at QB – Adam

Game 4: Bears (+9.5) @ Lions

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Bears
• Alan: Lions
• Jonny: Bears
• Neil: Lions
  

Money Line: Lions 1/5 &  Bears 19/5

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Lions
• Alan: Lions
• Jonny: Lions
• Neil: Lions
  

Comments: I’ve loved watching the Lions over the last couple of seasons – they play with their hearts on their shirts and with a no-fear attitude that’s infectious to watch.

Last week, they went into a full-on shootout against the Chargers and came out victorious to go to a 7-2 record. Next up for Dan Campbell & Co, it’s a Bears side that are coming off a win over the Panthers and who will hopefully have QB Justin Field back in the starting line-up.

The Bears have been awful (1-4) on the road this season, giving up almost 300 yards per game. I expect Jared Goff to easily pass that mark on Sunday in a comfortable Detroit win. – Adam

Game 5: Chargers (-3.5) @ Packers

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Chargers
• Alan: Chargers
• Jonny: Chargers
• Neil: Chargers
  

Money Line: Chargers 8/13 & Packers 13/10

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Chargers
• Alan: Chargers
• Jonny: Chargers
• Neil: Chargers
  

Comments: How is that Jordan Love experiment going Packers fans? Finding two Hall of Fame QBs one after another was like striking gold, fair to say Canton isn’t thinking about how to design his plaque just yet. I will concede that he doesn’t exactly have much talent to utilise and his numbers are slowly progressing but they face a good Chargers team on Sunday, who have Khalil Mack and Joey Bosa ready to burst into the backfield.

Los Angeles are the best 4-5 team in the league and they have every chance of evening their record come the end of this one up in Wisconsin – Neil

Game 6: Cardinals (+3.5) @ Texans

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Texans
• Alan: Texans
• Jonny: Texans
• Neil: Cardinals
  

Money Line: Texans 1/2 & Cardinals 17/10

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Texans
• Alan: Texans
• Jonny: Texans
• Neil: Cardinals
  

Comments: The job that DeMeco Ryans is doing in Houston might just be the most impressive among all active head coaches this season. CJ Stroud looks legit and they have shown plenty of heart in recent weeks by finding ways to end games late. I’ve got absolutely nothing but admiration for the rebuild job going on in southern Texas.

Yet I’m rolling with the big straight-up upset. Kyler Murray might not be as good as advertised when he burst on to the scene but his return to the starting job will give Arizona a lift. He’s clearly playing for his future with the franchise and every week we see one or two big favourites go down. Gut feeling says this might well be the shocker of Week 11 – Neil

Game 7: Titans (+6.5) @ Jaguars 

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Jaguars
• Alan: Jaguars
• Jonny: Jaguars
• Neil: Titans
  

Money Line: Jaguars 1/3 & Titans 12/5

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Jaguars
• Alan: Jaguars
• Jonny: Jaguars
• Neil: Jaguars
  

Comments: The Jaguars were thrashed by the 49ers last week, ending their five-game winning streak, but I think they can get back in the win column here.

The Titans are sat at the bottom of the AFC South, and are riding a two-game losing streak heading into Week 11. I’m putting the poor offensive display last week from Jacksonville down as a one-off, and I have faith that Trevor Lawrence will make amends on Sunday.

Tennessee have lost four of their last five contests so I’m taking the Jags to cover here. – Jonny

Game 8: Raiders (+13.5) @ Dolphins

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Dolphins
• Alan: Dolphins
• Jonny: Dolphins
• Neil: Dolphins
  

Money Line: Dolphins 1/7 & Raiders 5/1

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Dolphins
• Alan: Dolphins
• Jonny: Dolphins
• Neil: Dolphins
  

Comments: This is a very big point-spread and I’m usually wary of lines this big. However Miami have won every game in front of their own fans by 14+ so far this season.

As it stand at the time of writing, De’Von Achane is on course to return to the fold after a knee injury and adding him into the mix will see their powerful offense get all of its weapons back. I like the home side big – Neil

Game 9: Giants (+9.5) @ Commanders 

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Commanders
• Alan: Commanders
• Jonny: Giants
• Neil: Commanders
  

Money Line: Commanders 2/9 & Giants 17/5

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Commanders
• Alan: Commanders
• Jonny: Commanders
• Neil: Commanders
  

Comments: Keeping this one short but sweet. As it stands, Tommy DeVito is going to get another shot at starting for the New York Football Giants this week. I don’t think any more needs to be said. I’d back Washington if the line was double – Neil

Sunday – 21:05:

Game 10: Buccaneers (+10.5) @ 49ers

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: 49ers
• Alan: Buccaneers
• Jonny: 49ers
• Neil: 49ers
  

Money Line: 49ers 1/6 & Buccaneers 9/2

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: 49ers
• Alan: 49ers
• Jonny: 49ers
• Neil: 49ers
  

Comments: A much-needed victory for San Francisco last week, demolishing Jacksonville 34-3, while the Buccaneers snapped a four-game losing streak with a 20-6 victory over the Titans.

For me, it’s hard to see anything over than a Niners win, as they rank in the top-five for both total offensive (383.3 per game) and defensive yards (304.6 allowed) this season.

While Tampa Bay looked impressive against Tennessee defensively, I’m backing the 49ers to cover here too as I believe they have shaken off that three-game losing streak. – Jonny

Sunday – 21:25:

Game 11: Jets (+7.5) @ Bills

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Bills
• Alan: Jets
• Jonny: Bills
• Neil: Bills
  

Money Line: Bills 3/10 & Jets 13/5

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Bills
• Alan: Bills
• Jonny: Bills
• Neil: Bills
  

Comments: I’m still recovering from some of last week’s seismic NFL shocks, including the Bills’ home reverse to a resurgent Russ Wilson-inspired Broncos. No wonder we love this League – think you know what’s what; well think again!

Buffalo are out to 22/1 for Super Bowl LVIII, which is stunning considering what was expected as the season started. Meanwhile there might be worse 200/1 shots than Denver!

The Jets are beginning to disappoint me. They’re still in the NFL East hunt, just a win behind their Division rivals Buffalo but both trail Miami. Incidentally – when was the last time we saw the Pats in the very same Division languishing at 2-8?

NY allowed the Raiders to get the better of them, surprisingly to me, last time. Zach Wilson threw a pick, no TDs, and owns a modest 59% pass completion record this term. Reminder – they beat the Eagles just a month ago!

A match to file under ‘good luck with this one.’ Surely the Bills take it, but how’s our confidence in making that assertion? Sketchy. Ish. A few quid on the ‘under’ perhaps – Alan

Game 12: Seahawks (-1.5) @ Rams

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Seahawks
• Alan: Rams
• Jonny: Seahawks
• Neil: Seahawks
  

Money Line: Seahawks 5/6 & Rams EVS

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Seahawks
• Alan: Rams
• Jonny: Seahawks
• Neil: Seahawks
  

Comments: An ultra-tight one is envisaged – ‘Hawks -1.5 tells us that much. Seattle are having much the better of things in general terms (6-3), but the Rams remain a dangerous foe to write off entirely (3-6).

Stafford’s 59% completion record is modest for him, and the 7 picks haven’t helped. For Seattle, Smith has fared better at 65%, but neither has been ripping it up on offense. Each have middling overall records on both sides of the ball.

The fact they’re Divisional rivals adds spice, and at SoFi I’m hoping the Rams remember who they are and return from a bye week refreshed and focused – Alan

Monday – 01:20:

Game 13: Vikings (+2.5) @ Broncos

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Broncos
• Alan: Broncos
• Jonny: Vikings
• Neil: Vikings
  

Money Line: Broncos 8/11 & Vikings 23/20

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Broncos
• Alan: Broncos
• Jonny: Vikings
• Neil: Vikings
  

Comments: The Vikings can’t stop winning despite the loss of Kirk Cousins and appear to have found a more than able deputy in Joshua Dobbs. The veteran quarterback looks to have finally found his spiritual home in Minnesota and picked up another passing and rushing TD combo in last week’s victory.

He will face his toughest test though in the 4-5 Broncos, who appear to have something of a break through in recent weeks. First, they beat the all-conquering Chiefs and then backed that up with an impressive victory over the Bills on Monday Night Football for their third straight success.

Dobbs has been able to cut out the turnovers for the Vikes but this Denver defense is really, really improving. I think it can do just enough, along with a Russell Wilson who is starting to resemble his old self, to edge the win. – Adam

Tuesday 01:15:

Game 14: Eagles (+2.5) @ Chiefs

Picks ATS: 

• Adam: Chiefs
• Alan: Eagles
• Jonny: Chiefs
• Neil: Chiefs
  

Money Line: Chiefs 7/10 & Eagles 6/5

Picks Straight Up: 

• Adam: Chiefs
• Alan: Eagles
• Jonny: Chiefs
• Neil: Chiefs
  

Comments: A repeat of last term’s big one, the simply sensational Super Bowl LVII. Mahomes edged Hurts on that occasion, despite the Eagles’ QB having himself a day and then some, including 3 rushing TDs. Any time these two meet is one to massively savour. Both arrive refreshed after a bye week.

They are co-favourites of three for the Lombardi, along with the 49ers, at 9/2, and meet at Arrowhead for what’s sure to be a titanic affair.

Spread fav KC (-2.5) have home field but at 7-2 can’t match the Eagles’ present record of 8-1. None of that will matter – it’s down to those wizards under centre, plus the likes of Travis Kelce and D’Andre Swift, as to who catches fire on the night.

Two elite franchises. I’ll tentatively play under 44.5 but it’s frankly a privilege just to be able to watch – Alan

Season Records:

Against the Spread:

• Adam: 73-77
  
• Alan: 73-77
  
• Jonny: 79-71
  
• Neil: 80-70

Straight Up:

• Adam: 86-64
• Alan: 91-59
• Jonny: 88-62
• Neil: 85-65

Remember to check out our NFL Betting Tips index page where we preview games live on Sky Sports along with this weekly column…