• • The NFL is back yet again with a fantastic slate for Week 9 on Sunday, November 3rd, 2024
  • My favorite way to get in on the action is by betting NFL player props
  • Getting down on Friday is a great strategy, and it’s no different for this week

We’ve hit yet another sweet, sweet Friday, so that means one thing: getting our gambling preparations set for the weekend. We did it last week, and look how that turned out. Not only did Jameis Winston toss at least two touchdown passes, but Cedric Tillman also caught 5+ passes. It was a glorious, glorious sweep, and one that would have never happened if we weren’t alert on Friday.

Lucky for us, I’ve had my eyes peeled all week long. Looking through every matchup I could, searching for an advantage. The good news is, I found two. One in the Denver Broncos/Baltimore Ravens matchup and one in the Los Angeles Chargers/Cleveland Browns game. Both are bound for glory, and both deserve heavy praise.

This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.

Week 9 NFL Player Props and Odds

Odds taken November 1 at DraftKings & ESPNBet. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Bo Nix Will Get Loose

I don’t know if everyone has seen Bo Nix play yet, but if you haven’t, you should watch this weekend. Namely on Sunday. I’m not ready to say he’s good yet, but I don’t think he stinks. In fact, in my personal rankings, he’s one level above “doesn’t stink”.

One thing we can all be sure of, he just won Offensive Rookie of the Month for October. People are noticing that he doesn’t stink.

LET’S GO, BO!

RT to congratulate QB Bo Nix on being named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Month

» https://t.co/rB9IsNGc00 pic.twitter.com/vL1qnaOW62

— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) October 31, 2024

Whether Bo Nix stinks or not really has nothing to do with why we’re betting him. It has nothing to do with the fact that he was Offensive Rookie of the Month, nor the fact that he almost threw for 300 yards last week. At the end of the day, this has nothing to even do with the Denver Broncos.

This is about the Baltimore Ravens and their pass funnel defense. It’s noticeable. On the season, no defense in the NFL is better on a yards-per-attempt basis than Baltimore. Since that’s the case, teams have to throw on them. The thing is, everybody just does what they want through the air on the Ravens.

So far this season, no team in the NFL has given up more passing yards to quarterbacks than Baltimore. Every signal caller in the NFL has a shot at setting a record when they play Baltimore. Just last week, Jameis Winston threw for 330+ on them. The guy hadn’t started in years before that game.

All I’m saying is, even if Bo Nix isn’t good, he should still be able to crack 225+ passing yards on Sunday. Feels right.

• The Pick: Bo Nix 225+ Passing Yards (+120) – DraftKings

Nick Chubb Takes the Training Wheels Off

Betting is all about timing. That’s a fact. Ask anyone. As bettors, we just need to sit back and wait for opportunities to present themselves. They don’t teach kids that in school anymore and it’s sad. We’re just expected to know it these days.

Lucky for us, we have an obvious situation where an absolute stud is coming back from injury and he’s finally feeling like himself again.

#Browns Nick Chubb said that his second game back from the knee injury felt much better than his first. Said things felt clearer and slowed down.

“Felt better everywhere. Mentally, physically, everything.” pic.twitter.com/FZE6HQ0ysW

— Camryn Justice (@camijustice) October 30, 2024

Nick Chubb had a disgusting knee injury last year. Back in the day, guys didn’t even come back from what happened to him. Lucky for him, he lives now, so he’s good. He’s actually been back for two games, and in each game, he looks more and more like the Nick Chubb we all know and love.

This week, Cleveland will host the Los Angeles Chargers, which feels like a Chubb spot. Playing time could be an issue, but over the last two games, Chubb was given 11 and 16 carries, respectively. I don’t know what the Browns’ idea of a “pitch count” is, but if it’s more than 16 carries, count me in.

Why? Because we’re talking about Nick Chubb here. He looked great last week, and he’s got the Chargers this week. Those guys allow 5+ yards per carry. Do the math, if Chubb carries the ball 16 times, that’s 80 yards. My guess is Chubb gets 20+ attempts and goes for 100+. We only need 60+ to cash. Feels right.

• The Pick: Nick Chubb 60+ Rushing Yards (+120) – ESPNBet
• 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 9-7 (+6.28 Units)

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