• NFL Week 15 is underway
• This week I am targeting one underdog and two favorites in my NFL best bets
• Keep reading for all of SBD’s Week 15 expert ATS picks

There are no more bye weeks. As we get closer to the end of the NFL regular season, every team will be in action as they try to reach the 2024-25 NFL playoff bracket.

NFL Week 15 has a little bit of everything. There are battles between bad teams, important cross-conference games like Steelers vs Eagles and Bills vs Lions, and we even have the largest spread of the NFL season so far. The Ravens are 16.5-point favorites over the Giants, the largest NFL spread since Week 14 of the 2022 season. In that game, the Cowboys were 17.5-point favorites over the Texans but only won by four.

See below for all my NFL ATS picks for Week 15.

NFL Week 15 Picks Against the Spread

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ATS Pick #1: Browns +4

I don’t know how the Chiefs keep doing it, but they do. Week after week, they invent new ways to win games despite it never being pretty. Over their last seven games, they are 6-1 straight up but 0-7 against the spread. Six of those games have been one-possession games, so why would I expect this one to be any different?

The opening NFL odds for this game had the Browns as a 6.5-point underdog, but as the week has progressed, Cleveland is now +4. I am hopping on this line movement as long as I am still getting over a field goal with the Browns at home. This is an uncommon spot for the Chiefs as they are playing in the early window on Sunday. Plus, they are on the road.

Patrick Mahomes has struggled as a favorite. He is 24-40-2 (37.5%) against the spread as a favorite of 3.5 points or more since 2020. The Browns have been a disappointment this season, but with Jameis Winston they have been competitive. This is more of a bet against the Chiefs than a bet on the Browns, but Cleveland has shown enough over the last few weeks to make me feel comfortable backing them in this spot.

• NFL Week 15 Pick: Browns +4 (-108) vs Chiefs

ATS Pick #2: Panthers -3

The NFL odds list the Carolina Panthers as favorites for the first time since 2022. They went 33 straight games of being an underdog before this game against the Cowboys where they are 3-point favorites. How can you not pull for Carolina in this spot?

The Carolina Panthers are favored for the first time since December 18, 2022

They were underdogs in 33 straight games
pic.twitter.com/qZCgew3z4d

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) December 13, 2024

Even though the Panthers have lost three in a row, they have looked good against great competition. Their losses were to the Chiefs, Buccaneers, and Eagles, and every game was close. Bryce Young and the offense have improved tremendously, and even the defense has stepped up. Carolina has covered the spread in five straight games, and they have a great matchup to do it again on Sunday.

Dallas was in the game on Monday night against the Bengals, but after touching a punt late in the game, they lost and failed to cover. The Cowboys will be the worst team that Carolina has faced over the last few weeks, and they cannot stop the run. They have given up the fourth-most rushing yards in the league this season and allow 4.8 yards per carry. Chubba Hubbard and this run game should feast, and that will set up Bryce Young to succeed. I will take the Panthers to cover the spread on Sunday against the struggling Cowboys.

• NFL Week 15 Pick: Panthers -3 (-108) vs Cowboys

ATS Pick #3: Eagles -5.5

The Battle of Pennsylvania takes place in Week 15 and should be one of the best games of the weekend. The Eagles are 5.5-point favorites over the Steelers, and this is one of the few times I will be against Mike Tomlin as an underdog. The Steelers have lost 10 straight road games vs the Eagles and have failed to cover the spread in nine straight when playing in Philadelphia.

After starting the season 2-2, the Eagles have won nine games in a row and are 6-3 ATS in that span. Their rushing game is strong with Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts, but their defense has been lights-out of late. The Eagles had to sweat in their game against the Panthers last week, but they still were able to get the win. They just came off a big win vs the Ravens and had the Steelers on deck, so the letdown vs Carolina makes sense.

The Steelers have gone through a gauntlet. They just played four straight AFC North games, and now that they finally made it out of that stretch, they get to play the 11-2 Eagles on the road. Pittsburgh has been good on defense but has given up a lot of points at times when playing talented offenses. I also worry about Pittsburgh’s offense without George Pickens. I think they will struggle against this Philadelphia defense, which is why I like the Eagles to win by at least six points.

• NFL Week 15 Pick: Eagles -5.5 (-110) vs Steelers

The post NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 15 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.