- NFL touchdown props are available for all 14 games of Week 6 of the NFL season
- I have scoured through the hundreds of NFL TD props available to find the best TD props to bet
- See my nine NFL anytime TD scorer predictions for Week 6 below
I’m back again to offer up my picks for the most popular prop in all of betting: NFL anytime touchdown scorers. Trying to sort through all the odds available for 14 games can be exhausting for someone who doesn’t do this for a living. So, allow me to do the work for you! I have gone through all the NFL TD scorer props, made my TD picks, and shopped for the best anytime TD odds for Week 6.
I had a rough go picking NFL anytime TDs last week, going just 2-6 and losing 1.71 units, setting back what had been a pretty decent year so far. The loss that stung the most was Jayden Daniels, who had a carry from the three-yard-line where he lost yardage, and had two other runs where he was pushed out of bounds at the three-yard-line. I have also bet Daniels to score a touchdown in two games this season, and they’re the only two games he has not scored. (Sorry, I needed to vent to someone and my wife doesn’t know who Jayden Daniels is yet.)
I’m putting the one bad week behind me, though, and looking to get my money back in Week 6. As usual, I’m sticking with NFL anytime TD scorers. I stay away from first TD scorer props because they’re too unpredictable. I have nine players (at the time of original publish) I am betting to score a touchdown in Week 6. See them below!
Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 6
Player | Anytime TD Odds |
---|---|
Kenneth Walker | -110 (FanDuel) |
Roschon Johnson | +225 (Caesars) |
Brian Robinson | +140 (ESPN Bet) |
Jalen Hurts | +118 (Caesars) |
Tucker Kraft | +225 (DraftKings) |
Chris Godwin | +180 (DraftKings) |
Drake London | +130 (bet365) |
Jahmyr Gibbs | -120 (bet365) |
Ja’Marr Chase | +105 (bet365) |
I am betting a half-unit on each of the nine players listed above, except for Jahmyr Gibbs, who is a full-unit bet. I am very likely going to add one more play for the Monday Night Football matchup, but wasn’t ready to do so when publishing this, as Khalil Shakir and James Cook’s respective statuses are both very uncertain at the moment. Follow me on Twitter/X to ensure you get the added NFL TD pick, but I will also pop it into the table above when we get some more clarity on injury reports.
If you want to see more than NFL TD props, you can see all the best lines for passing, rushing, and receiving props on our NFL player props page.
If you wanted to know why I like the nine players above to score a touchdown in Week 6, you can read my analysis and justification for each below.
Kenneth Walker
The Thursday Night Football matchup for Week 6 features two teams that suffered bad losses as heavy favorites last week. The Seahawks lost to the Giants, while the 49ers were upset by the Cardinals. Heading into this game, I like both teams to get back to their bread and butter. For both teams, I think that means establishing the run and leaning on their talented running backs.
While Jordan Mason’s anytime touchdown odds can’t be found any longer than -160, which is a bit too short for me, you can get Kenneth Walker at -110 odds at FanDuel.
Running backs have scored eight of Seattle’s 13 offensive touchdowns, with Walker accounting for four of those in just three games. Last week’s loss to the Giants was the only game he has been held out of the endzone this season, but I like the RB to bounce back against a San Francisco defense that’s allowing 4.7 yards per carry and have allowed the seventh-most receiving yards to RBs.
- Pick: Kenneth Walker Anytime TD (-110 at FanDuel)
Roschon Johnson
I can’t believe we’re getting +225 odds on Roschon Johnson to score a touchdown, when he (a) has scored three TDs in his last two games, and (b) is as short as +130 at bet365. I’ll be the first to acknowledge those two games came against some bad defenses in the Panthers and Rams, but it’s not getting much tougher for the Bears in Week 6 when they take on the Jacksonville Jaguars, who rank 30th in points allowed and 31st in yards allowed.
Though Johnson is a clear #2 in the Bears backfield behind D’Andre Swift, I believe he has established himself as the team’s short-yardage and goal line back. He has four carries inside the five-yard line and has converted three of them for touchdowns. Swift has five carries inside the five and has turned them into -7 yards and just one touchdown.
I don’t think Johnson is going to come out and run all over the Jags defense, but I do like Chicago to find themselves in a couple goal line scenarios, and believe Johnson will be the one trusted with the rock.
- Pick: Roschon Johnson Anytime TD (+225 at Caesars)
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Brian Robinson
I see three potential outcomes for Brian Robinson this week: (1) he doesn’t play and this anytime TD bet is void; (2) he plays injured again and sees fewer touches, but holds onto the goal line work; and (3) he plays without any injury concerns and sees his usual 15(ish) rushing attempts.
In cases 2 and 3 above, I like Robinson to get into the endzone. While Washington is playing the league’s best defense against the run (only allowing 3.1 YPC), I think the threat of Jayden Daniels’ legs helps the Commanders find some space between the tackles. The only concern I have with this bet is if the Ravens get out to a big lead early, and Washington decides to protect their starters. I’m trusting the Commanders offense to keep this game competitive, though.
(If we do see Robinson ruled out of this game early, I will likely look to replace him in this bet with either Jayden Daniels or Austin Ekeler.)
- Pick: Brian Robisnon Anytime TD (+140 at ESPN Bet)
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Jalen Hurts
Hurts has scored a touchdown in two of Philadelphia’s four games this season, and sees one of the worst rushing defenses in the league in Week 6 – not to mention, he’s fresh off a bye week. The more obvious beneficiary of the Browns’ weak run defense is Saquon Barkley, but the longest odds I could find for him to score a TD were -180. That’s just a little too short for me when you consider how often Hurts vultures those goal line TDs.
With AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Lane Johnson all expected back in the lineup, I don’t see Philadelphia having much trouble moving the ball against the Browns, giving plenty of red zone opportunities to both Barkley and Hurts. At a much better price of +115 odds, I’m betting Hurts.
- Pick: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (+118 at Caesars)
Tucker Kraft
In the three games Tucker Kraft has played with Jordan Love as his QB this season, Kraft has 12 receptions for 178 yards and three touchdowns. Those three touchdowns have come in the last two games, where he has seen nine and five targets, respectively. The tight end has become a big part of the offense.
Though the Cardinals have only surrendered six touchdowns through the air, it’s not because they’re strong against the pass. They have just played from behind so much this season that teams aren’t throwing against them – they have faced the fourth-fewest pass attempt in the NFL. When teams have thrown the ball against them, it has worked. Arizona’s defense ranks 28th in net yards per pass attempt.
On top of all that, Luke Musgrave was just placed on IR today, meaning Kraft faces even less competition for snaps at TE.
- Pick: Tucker Kraft Anytime TD (+225 at DraftKings)
Chris Godwin
Mike Evans leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with five touchdowns this season, but he has not fared well against Marshon Lattimore and the Saints. Looking to teams Evans has played at least three times in his career, only two teams have held him to fewer receiving yards per game than the Saints. The 31-year-old averages just 50.5 yards per game against New Orleans and only has five touchdowns in 19 games. (He has 13 and 11 against the Falcons and Panthers, respectively, in the same amount of games.)
Evans has actually been held out of the endzone in each of his last five games against the Saints. With the Saints, and specifically Lattimore, expected to give Evans plenty of attention, I love Chris Godwin to get in the endzone.
Godwin averages 70.2 receiving yards per game against the Saints, and has caught seven touchdowns in 13 games against the division rival. After catching a touchdown in each of the first three games this season, Godwin has not scored a TD in either of Tampa Bay’s last two games.
That hasn’t been the result of a lack of involvement overall or specifically in the red zone. It has just been some bad TD luck. Godwin leads the team in targets – four more than Evans this season – and he’s only seen one fewer target inside the 20-yard-line than Evans. I love the +180 odds on Godwin to score this week.
- Pick: Chris Godwin Anytime TD (+180 at DraftKings)
Drake London
After a bit of a slow start to the season, it seems Kirk Cousins and Drake London have started to find some chemistry. London’s targets have increased each week, seeing 13, 12, 9, and 7 in each of the last four weeks, respectively. He has scored a touchdown in three of those four games, and just exploded for 154 yards against the Buccaneers last week.
The Falcons take on the Panthers this week, who have given up the most points in the NFL. They rank 31st in net yards per pass attempt, and have surrendered 11 touchdowns through the air. I think Carolina’s offense may be able to do just enough to ensure Atlanta’s foot stays on the gas for most of the game, and I like London to find the endzone for the fourth time in five games.
- Pick: Drake London Anytime TD (+130 at bet365)
SPORTSBOOK
Jahmyr Gibbs
We have not seen David Montgomery dominate the goal line carries this year as he did last season. Through five weeks, Montgomery has seen six carries inside the five-yard-line versus Jahmyr Gibbs’ five. The result has been the two running backs tied for the team-lead with four touchdowns each, with one of Gibbs’ coming through the air.
The Lions are preparing to take on the Cowboys in Week 6, and despite Dallas only giving up 118 rushing yards in their last two games combined, I’m still not convinced they are good at stopping the run. I think Detroit’s offensive line, fresh off the bye, is going to bully this Cowboys defense and we see Detroit run all over them.
I like both Montgomery and Gibbs to score in this one, but like the price on Gibbs’ anytime TD better.
- Pick: Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime TD (-120 at bet365)
Ja’Marr Chase
Ja’Marr Chase has scored five touchdowns in his last three games, and is looking as explosive as ever. The 24-year-old scored touchdowns of 41 and 70 yards last week, while piling up 193 yards on 12 targets against the Ravens. Chase will see a Giants defense this week, which has been pretty good against the pass this season.
The Giants defensive line has been able to apply consistent pressure on opposing QBs and they’re only allowing 5.6 net yards per pass attempt. However, I think this bodes well for Chase. If Cincinnati finds their offensive line is struggling, I suspect they’ll just look to get the ball out of Joe Burrow’s hands a little quicker, putting it into the hands of their playmakers around the line of scrimmage. Their #1 playmaker is Chase.
- Pick: Ja’Marr Chase Anytime TD (+105 at bet365)
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