Newmarket July Festival Thursday Tips and Previews
NEWMARKET’S JULY FESTIVAL KICKS OFF ON THURSDAY! I have covered all the action on ITV Racing plus the remaining races on the card.
Make sure you scroll right down to the bottom to see any multiples we are placing. These can be added direct to your bet365 bet slip.
ITV Racing Thursday Schedule
1.50 Newmarket (July) Bahrain Trophy Stakes (Group 3) 1m5f
2.25 Newmarket (July) Kingdom Of Bahrain July Stakes (Group 2) 6f
3.00 Newmarket (July) bet365 Handicap (Class 2) 6f
3.35 Newmarket (July) Princess Of Wales’s Stakes (Group 2) 1m4f
Newmarket (July) 1.50
Aidan O’Brien has only actually won this race once and that was with Housesofparliament back in 2016. Tower of London has improved since going up in trip and he will likely go off favourite but I’m not sure he beat a great deal last time and I’m going to oppose. Roaring Lion colt SAINT GEORGE beat Sweet William at Southwell back in April and that horse has won impressively since to frank the form. He then followed up at Doncaster last month really hitting the line hard. He ran a cracker in the Queen’s Vase to chase home Gregory and I think he should be favourite for this.
Castle Way could easily be the danger having won 3 of his last 4. He was nicely on top to win at Listed level when last seen back in May. He is up in trip again so has to prove his effectiveness over the distance but he shapes as though he’ll stay and I think he’ll run well for the boys in blue. Klondike will enjoy this trip too and he should go well but a bit to find on collateral form.
This is a really open race with all of these expected to improve as they gain more experience. MALC edges it on current form after running a big race at Royal Ascot behind Valiant Force and in front of His Majesty who has gone well since. He stayed on strongly at the finish to suggest he could be better over this trip and he should be right in the mix here.
Mountain Bear doesn’t have the best form in the book but you would fully expect an O’Brien horse to improve a lot with each run. The yard is in top form and it wouldn’t be surprising to see him as the main danger. Purosangue is fav at the time of writing after an easy win on debut and will go close if stepping forward from that.
Newmarket (July) 3.00
I am quite a big fan of Harry Davies but I think it is safe to say things went wrong for him on FRANKNESS at Royal Ascot last month. This Frankel filly travelled strongly into the race but was repeatedly stopped in her run and he could just never find a gap. She finished strongly for sixth and crossed the line with more running to give. Her win at Goodwood over this trip before that was promising and given the yard have won this 4 times in the past she is sure to go well back up to 6f.
Washington Heights often flatters to deceive and has finished runner-up the last 3 times now so should go well again. He is fav at the time of writing though and might find one or two too good again. Mill Stream and Eminency also made my shortlist. The latter continues to shape well in defeat and with cheekpieces on now could emerge as the biggest danger to the selection. Mill Stream ran well off a big weight at York and should also get competitive.
Newmarket (July) 3.35
With this race only attracting 4 runners it looks like an ideal opportunity for ADAYAR to bounce back from a flat run at Royal Ascot. He has always been competitive at the top level and a drop down to a Group 2 makes him the one to beat for sure. He is 10lb clear on ratings and at his best will win this well as the betting is suggesting.
Global Storm could be in here as a pacesetter and with Grand Alliance having a lot to find it leaves Israr as the main danger. He was only denied a short head by Haskoy in a Group 3 on return and then bumped into Quickthorn at Listed level at York. He rarely runs a bad race and if it gets tactical he could be a threat. But once again if Adayar is at his brilliant best I would be disappointed if he doesn’t win this.
Newmarket (July) 4.10
Amo Racing have done so well with their juveniles this season and the unraced ORNELLAIA might be worth chancing to strike at the first time of asking in this. She is by Night Of Thunder and cost a whopping 260,000 guineas as a yearling. She is bred to be smart and should run a big race. As expected with these types of races the market will prove informative so definitely keep an eye on the betting in the run up to the race.
Sacred Angel shaped well from a difficult draw on debut to finish third at Pontefract last month. With natural improvement she should go close but she doesn’t set an insurmountable standard as that debut run doesn’t look hugely solid form. Key To Cotai went down less than a length at Salisbury and experience could count for plenty with 2 runs under her belt now. Rating will find this easier and is also noted.
Newmarket (July) 4.45
Gosden won this last year with Mighty Ulysses so while Mostabshir disappointed behind Paddington at Royal Ascot he still needs to be respected down in grade. I do prefer Kingman colt NOSTRUM though for Sir Michael Stoute. He made a winning debut at Sandown as a 2yo before going on to win the Group 3 Tattersalls Stakes here. He was far from disgraced in the Dewhurst behind Chaldean and likely targeted at this looks a huge player on return. He is likely to have improved plenty and I’m expecting him to relish this step up to a mile for the first time.
Of the rest Dubawi colt Imperial Emperor is unbeaten having won both starts to date. He is clearly quite a promising colt and he has experience of the track having won over C&D last month. His form doesn’t amount to much at this stage though so I do think he’ll need to improve and the bookies have taken no chances with his price.
Newmarket (July) 5.20
Charlie Appleby has won this for the last 2 years with Path Of Thunder and then Noble Dynasty but with no runners from the boys in blue UNITED FRONT might be able to surprise a few. This son of War Front looked back to his best winning readily at Beverley last month and he didn’t do a great deal wrong back up to a mile when fifth at Carlisle last time. He was probably given a bit too much to do in hindsight that day but finished the race off nicely. He is still well treated on his old form and he should run well.
Plenty of dangers likely headed by market leader Glenfinnan. The latter is completely unexposed after just 3 starts and impressed winning at Yarmouth on final start as a 2yo. He goes handicapping in a first-time hood and should go very well. Darkness was denied just a short head at Goodwood but then disappointed at York. If bouncing back he could be a danger to all.
Newmarket Win Treble
Here are three of my strongest bets from Newmarket on Thursday combined to make a Win Treble. Pays 16/1!
Newmarket Win Treble
Newmarket 1.50 Saint George EYE CATCHER
Newmarket Lucky 15
There is plenty of decent value about on Thursday so I’ve combined these four to make a Lucky 15. Hopefully this can make us some decent profit. Pays 1,400/1!
Newmarket Lucky 15
Newmarket 2.25 Malc
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