- The San Diego State Aztecs are 2.5-point favorites when they host the New Mexico Lobos Friday night
- The Lobos have dropped nine straight games to the Aztecs
- Read below for New Mexico vs San Diego State betting line, prediction and pick
There’s no doubt that the New Mexico Lobos (3-6, 2-3 Mountain West) can put up points. The question Friday night is: can they put up enough to end a skid to the San Diego State Aztecs (3-5, 2-1 Mountain West) that’s reached nine games?
SDSU is a slight home favorite for this one, but both teams are struggling, both having lost two in a row coming in and with only three wins on the season.
New Mexico vs San Diego State Odds
Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
New Mexico Lobos | +2.5 (-110) | +118 | O 66 (-110) |
San Diego State Aztecs | -2.5 (-115) | -140 | U 66 (-110) |
The Aztecs are 4-4 at home this year, and are 2.5-point favorites in the college football odds.
Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm ET at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, with FS1 carrying the broadcast.
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Lobos: Great Offense, Terrible Defense
New Mexico is just outside the Top 25 in the nation in scoring, putting up 34.8 points per game, which is good for third in the Mountain West.
Powered by a rush attack that ranks eight in college football at 230.9 yards per game, and a Top-50 passing game that rings up 249.2 yards, the Lobos can light up any scoreboard. In fact, they have scored at least 45 points in four of their last five games.
However, all those points can’t help the Lobos outscore their defensive woes. They are second last in the MWC, allowing 38.9 points per game.
They are outside the Top 130 in yards per play (7.1), rush yards allowed (237.2) and rush per rush (131). They also grade out to a brutal 111th in pass yards allowed.
NO STOPPING DEVON.
TruTV #GoLobos | #EarnedNotGiven pic.twitter.com/vwN46uTwZV
— New Mexico Football (@UNMLoboFB) November 2, 2024
Wyoming outlasted UNM 49-45 last game because it got whatever it wanted, throwing for 342 yards while rushing for 262.
That woeful defense somehow overshadowed the fact the Lobos went berserk running the ball, posting 412 rushing yards.
Junior Eli Sanders went for 205 yards and two touchdowns on 17 carries, which was somehow topped by pivot Devon Dampier running for 207 yards, and three scores, on just 12 carries.
New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction
San Diego State is coming off its worst beating of the year, as the 15th-ranked Boise State Broncos crushed them 56-24, handing them their first conference loss on the year.
While they don’t usually bleed points like New Mexico, the Aztecs are still fourth-worst in scoring defense in the conference, giving up 27.6 points per game.
Unlike the Lobos, though, they don’t have an offense that can go toe-to-toe with the opposition, putting up 22.5 points per game, the fourth-lowest output in the MWC.
New Mexico vs San Diego State Last 5 Games
Date | Result | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Nov 18, 2022 | SDSU 34 New Mexico 10 | SDSU -14.5 | Under 36.0 |
Oct 9, 2021 | SDSU 31 New Mexico 7 | SDSU -19.5 | Under 42.5 |
Nov 3, 2018 | SDSU 31 New Mexico 23 | UNM +12.5 | Over 45.5 |
Nov 24, 2017 | SDSU 35 New Mexico 10 | SDSU -21.0 | Under 46.5 |
Oct 10, 2014 | SDSU 24 New Mexico 14 | SDSU -3.0 | Under 53.5 |
Most times, an offense that was outside the Top 105 in total yards, rushing and yards per play would be in trouble in any matchup, but stacked to New Mexico’s defense, the Aztecs are in position to shake their two game losing streak.
No team is worth trusting in this one, but one thing we can count on is New Mexico scoring and getting scored on. The Lobos have allowed 35 points in eight of nine games this season, the get-right opponent for any struggling offense.
They also allow have the seventh-most turnovers lost in the NCAA, with 12 interceptions and six fumbles. Those extra possessions for SDSU should help, and the scoreboard lights will feel the effects.
- Pick: Over 66 points (-110)
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