• #8 LSU travels to College Station to face #14 Texas A&M in CFB Week 9
• Since 2010, LSU is 12-1 against the spread vs the Aggies
• Keep reading for the latest LSU vs Texas A&M prediction, picks, and odds

LSU continues their road trip on Saturday, October 26 as they go to Kyle Field to play Texas A&M. While LSU has dominated the series, especially against the spread (12-1 ATS since 2010), these two have gone back and forth over their last six matchups. Both LSU and Texas A&M have gone 3-3 over that span.

Texas A&M and LSU have both rattled off six straight wins and are undefeated in SEC play. LSU lost to USC in their opener and is 3-0 in conference play, while Texas A&M lost their first game to Notre Dame and is now 4-0 in the SEC. A win by either team would be huge for their hopes to reach the 12-team CFP bracket.

LSU vs Texas A&M Odds

The college football odds have the Aggies as slight favorites at home over LSU. Texas A&M opened as 3-point favorites before moving to a near pick’em. The O/U has not moved as much as the spread, but the total opened at 53.5 before moving to 54.5. The Aggies are 4-3 to the over, while the over is just 2-5 in LSU games this season.

Odds as of October 25 at BetMGM. Check out the best BetMGM promo code before locking in your LSU vs Texas bets for CFB Week 9.

LSU is Lighting it Up Through the Air

LSU started the season 0-4 against the spread but has covered in three straight games heading into Week 9. This is just LSU’s second game where they have been an underdog. They covered the spread against Ole Miss as an underdog two weeks ago.

The Tigers are averaging 34.1 points per game and 6.5 yards per play this season. LSU has been especially great through the air thanks to Garrett Nussmeier’s production in his first season as the starter. He is 12th in the country in QBR and has thrown for 2,222 yards and 18 touchdowns with six interceptions. With weapons like Kyren Lacy and Aaron Anderson, LSU is ranked fourth in the country in passing yards per game with 322.4.

LSU’s defense has allowed under 21 points per game, but their passing defense has been vulnerable especially when they are away from Death Valley. They blitz frequently and are seventh in the country in sacks, but if they do not get to the quarterback, their secondary has been torched. LSU’s secondary is 112th in defensive success rate against the pass this season.

Texas A&M Looks to Take Advantage of LSU’s Defense

Despite a 6-1 record, Texas A&M is just 2-5 against the spread. The last time they covered the spread was when they defeated Missouri at home 41-10 as 2.5-point favorites.

The Aggies want to run the ball. Texas A&M is second in the SEC in rushing yards and 12th in the country in rushing offense, averaging 218.6 yards per game. This rushing attack has led the Aggies to 31.4 points per game this season, and quarterback Conner Weigman has been efficient, completing 70.2% of his passes since returning from injury.

On the money @ConnerWeigman @Thomas3Noah

@SECNetwork #GigEm | #BTHOmississippistate pic.twitter.com/QsKpPo1QWH

— Texas A&M Football (@AggieFootball) October 19, 2024

Texas A&M’s defense has been stout and has caused a lot of havoc on opposing offenses. They have allowed 17.7 points per game and have been great at getting off the field on third downs. The Aggies rank seventh in the country as their opponents have converted on just 27.8% of their third down attempts. This is largely a result of their ability to get after the quarterback and generate pressure on runs, forcing negative plays on first and second down.

LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction

The matchup to watch in this SEC showdown will be LSU’s offense vs. Texas A&M’s front seven. The Tigers can throw the ball on anyone, but they average just 123.3 rushing yards per game, which is good for 15th out of 16 SEC teams. Texas A&M is known for getting after the quarterback, but through seven games, LSU has only allowed two sacks.

Still, I give the edge to Texas A&M because LSU will likely become one-dimensional in this game, and the Aggies will be able to control the clock at home by running the ball. LSU allows over 127 rushing yards per game, and I expect running back Le’Veon Moss to run all over the Tiger defense. Weigman has been throwing the ball accurately and can also contribute on the ground. Texas A&M has the players needed to win this game on both sides of the ball and should beat LSU in front of the 12th man.

LSU vs TAMU Pick: Texas A&M ML (-115)

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