- We’ve made our Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston prediction for Tuesday night
- The latest Tuesday night CFB odds favor the Bearkats by 10 points
- Read below for Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston prediction, pick and odds
We’ve got a Tuesday night CFB showdown in the Lone Star State. The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs head to Huntsville to battle the Sam Houston Bearkats. Kickoff is set for 8:00 PM ET from Field, with ESPNU broadcasting the game.
If you’re looking to get in on the betting action, the Bearkats are laying 10 points with the total set at 45.5. Do the Bulldogs stand a chance against a loaded Sam Houston squad?
Here is our Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston prediction, along with Tuesday night CFB betting odds.
LA Tech vs Sam Houston Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under |
---|---|---|---|
Louisiana Tech | +10 (-110) | +300 | 45.5 (-110) |
Sam Houston State | -10 (-110) | -400 | 45.5 (-110) |
The oddsmakers are giving a clear nod to the home team in this one, installing Sam Houston as a 10-point favorite with a moneyline of -400. That implies an 80% win probability for the Bearkats, which isn’t surprising given their 6-2 record and the Bulldogs’ struggles on the road.
As for the total, 45.5 suggests we could be in for a bit of a rock fight. Both teams have had their share of offensive issues lately, and with Sam Houston QB Hunter Watson’s status up in the air, points could be at a premium.
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Odds as of Oct. 29, at ESPN Sportsbook. Check out the available College Football betting apps for LA Tech vs SMSU.
Bulldogs Betting Analysis
If you’re thinking about backing the ‘Dogs in this spot, there are a few things to consider. First and foremost, this team has been wildly inconsistent, sitting at 3-4 overall and 5th in the Conference USA standings. They’re coming off a less-than-impressive 14-10 win over UTEP, and the offense has been a major question mark.
QB Evan Bullock has put up decent numbers (1,038 yards, 9 TDs, 0 INTs), but the ground game has been nonexistent, averaging a miserable 96.3 yards per contest. The defense has been the saving grace for LA Tech, allowing just 21.6 points per game (22nd in passing yards allowed, 41st in rushing).
Evan Bullock (@evanbullock8_) hits Solo Lewis for a 4⃣7⃣-yard scoring strike to tie it up in Ruston
: @CBSSportsNet #NoLimitsOnUs | @LATechFB pic.twitter.com/BhIQ1OLyYx
— Conference USA (@ConferenceUSA) October 23, 2024
If the Bulldogs are going to spring the upset, they’ll need that defense to force some turnovers and give the offense a short field. However, recent betting trends suggest that might be easier said than done. Louisiana Tech is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games and a dismal 3-10 SU in their last 13 contests. They’ve also struggled mightily on the road, going 0-6 SU in their last six away from home.
To make matters worse, the Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six Conference USA games, 1-6 ATS in their last seven October matchups, and 1-4 SU in their previous five Week 10 tilts. In short, there’s not a lot of historical data pointing in LA Tech’s favor here.
Bearkats Betting Analysis
On the other side of the coin, it’s been a solid year for Sam Houston State. They’re 6-2 and sitting pretty in 4th place in the conference, thanks in large part to an offense that’s putting up 26.9 points and 376.8 yards per game.
BEARKATS ARE BOWL BOUND!#EatEmUpKats pic.twitter.com/wpv4dmIOQ5
— Sam Houston Football (@BearkatsFB) October 23, 2024
The big question mark for the Bearkats is the health of dual-threat QB Hunter Watson. He’s listed as probable after missing last week, and his status is crucial to SHS’s success. Watson leads the team in both passing (987 yards, 9 TDs) and rushing (422 yards, 3 TDs), so if he’s a go, that 10-point spread looks a lot more manageable.
Defensively, Sam Houston has been stingy, giving up just 22.6 points per game (3rd in the conference against the run, 4th against the pass). If Watson plays and the defense does its thing, covering the number shouldn’t be an issue.
Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston Prediction
When it comes down to it, I have a hard time seeing how LA Tech keeps this one close. Their offense has been too inconsistent, especially on the road. Even en with Watson’s status up in the air, Sam Houston has the defensive chops to make life difficult for the Bulldogs.
The Bearkats are 4-1 ATS with Watson under center, and I expect that trend to continue. Look for SHS to control the game on the ground, keep LA Tech’s offense in check, and ultimately cover the 10-point spread.
Give me Sam Houston State -10, and I’ll sprinkle a little on the under 45.5 while I’m at it. Buckle up, – this one could get ugly.
Tuesday Night CFB Picks:
- Sam Houston -10 (-110)
- Under 45.5 (-110)
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The post Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston Prediction, Pick & Odds for Tuesday Night Football (Oct. 29) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.