• Los Angeles is a -142 moneyline favorite in the Dodgers vs Mets odds for Game 5 of the NLCS on Friday
• Jack Flaherty (1-1, 2.92 ERA) takes the ball for LA, while New York counters with David Peterson (1-0, 2.08 ERA)
• See below for the Dodgers vs Mets odds and predictions for Game 5

The LA Dodgers are now one win away from capturing their NL record 25th pennant. The Dodgers routed the Mets 10-2 in Game 4 of the NLCS to take a commanding 3-1 lead, and online sportsbooks expect them to punch their ticket to the World Series with another victory in Game 5. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08 pm ET tonight in Queen’s, NY, with LA pegged as the chalk in the latest MLB odds.

Dodgers vs Mets Game 5 Odds

The Dodgers are currently -142 moneyline favorites in a game  with a total of 7.5. Early money has come pouring in on LA, with Dave Roberts’ team drawing 91% of the straight-up bets, and 81% of the handle. Total-wise, the betting action is just as lopsided. 87% of the over/under bets and 86% of the money is expecting the game to exceed 7.5 runs, just like every other contest in this series so far. 

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Dodgers vs Mets Probable Pitchers for Game 5

In fact, the Dodgers have eclipsed 7.5 runs on their own in three of the four matchups. If the Mets have any hope of extending this series, they’ll need to shut down the LA bats, and that responsibility falls on David Peterson in Game 5.

Peterson will make his first start of the postseason after four relief appearances so far in the playoffs. He threw 2.1 innings in New York’s Game 1 loss, and it did not go well. Peterson yielded four hits and three runs to LA, while also issuing a walk. He hadn’t allowed a run in any of his three previous appearances versus the Phillies and Brewers, and was a solid starter during the regular season.

Jack Flaherty vs David Peterson 2024 Playoff Stats

The southpaw had a 2.90 ERA over 21 starts, but hasn’t pitched more than 3 innings in nearly a month. He threw 40 pitches in Game 1 and there’s an excellent chance he doesn’t go very deep into the game. That will put even more stress on a tired, struggling New York bullpen. Mets relievers were shelled for 7 hits and 5 runs in Game 4, bringing their NLCS ERA to 6.54. They’re averaging 1.74 home runs allowed per 9 innings, to go along with 6.5 walks.

LA meanwhile, will turn to Game 1 star Jack Flaherty. The 29-year-old threw the game of his life on Sunday, shutting out the Mets over 7 innings. Flaherty scattered only two hits while striking out six. That outing followed up a rough performance in the NLDS against San Diego, where he allowed four runs and two homers in a loss to the Padres.

Shutting down the New York bats is nothing new to Flaherty. He’s held them to a lifetime .200 average over 90 at-bats, with a 30% strikeout rate. Tonight will mark his seventh career playoff start and eighth appearance, after previous postseason stints with the Orioles and Cardinals.

Dodgers vs Mets Prediction

The Dodgers are now -1600 in the NL pennant odds and -130 to win the World Series. Based on their recent play, those championship odds might not be short enough. LA has outscored New York 30-9 in the NLCS, completely neutralizing the Mets lineup. New York batters are slashing a dreadful .205/.308/.288, scoring more than two runs just once. That was in Game 2, when the Dodgers threw a bullpen game.

Excluding that contest, the Dodgers have allowed only two runs total since Game 3 of the NLDS. With Flaherty back on the hill on regular rest, the outlook doesn’t look promising for the Mets.

As if the pitching dominance wasn’t enough to propel LA to the championship round, their offense has also been on fire. They’ve smacked six home runs already in the NLCS, getting production from their biggest stars.

Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts tonight:

5-for-9, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 7 runs scored, 3 BB pic.twitter.com/FpFqeHg1qF

— MLB (@MLB) October 18, 2024

After a quiet start to his postseason career, Shohei Ohtani has come alive. He’s homered in back-to-back games, and scored four times in the Game 4 rout. Mookie Betts also homered in Game 4 and drove in four runs, while Max Muncy has now reached base in 12 straight playoff games, which is a postseason record.

Teams taking a 3-1 series lead have gone on to advance 85% of the time in postseason history, and we should expect LA to add to that total tonight.

LAD vs NYM pick: LA Dodgers Moneyline (-142)

The post LA Dodgers vs New York Mets Odds & Predictions for Game 5 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.