• #16 Iowa State and #15 Arizona State battle for the Big 12 Championship
• The latest Sun Devils vs Cyclones odds favor Arizona State by 1.5 points
• Read below for Iowa State vs Arizona State prediction, pick and odds

A surprising Big 12 Championship showdown features #16 Iowa State (10-2) against #15 Arizona State (10-2) on Saturday at AT&T Stadium. Both teams went 7-2 in conference play, setting up this crucial playoff-implications matchup.

Vegas sees Arizona State as a slight 1.5-point favorite with a 50.5 total at most sportsbooks. The Sun Devils have shocked everyone after being picked to finish 16th in the conference, orchestrating one of college football’s most surprising turnarounds under second-year head coach Kenny Dillingham.

Meanwhile, Matt Campbell’s Cyclones are hunting for their first-ever conference title in his seventh season at the helm.

Iowa State vs Arizona State Prediction

The Sun Devils are riding high on a five-game winning streak, capped off by last week’s 49-7 demolition of rival Arizona. They’ve found their offensive groove lately, putting up 28+ points in four of their last five games.

ASU took a tough blow against Arizona though, losing star receiver Jordyn Tyson to a season-ending collarbone injury. The talented wideout had racked up 75 catches for 1,101 yards and 10 TDs this year.

With Tyson out, ASU will lean heavily on workhorse back Cam Skattebo (1,398 rush yards, 17 TDs) to carry the load. The versatile runner has also been a weapon in the passing game, snagging 35 catches for 468 yards and two scores.

Cam Skattebo gave a powerful halftime speech to his teammates during the BYU game.

This man is a leader and would look great in an Arizona Cardinals uniform next season.

Must watch!
pic.twitter.com/8rQ3biGQCd

— Mr. Az (@MrAzSports) November 27, 2024

The Cyclones have bounced back nicely from back-to-back November losses to Texas Tech and Kansas, rattling off three straight wins including a clutch 29-21 victory over Kansas State to punch their ticket to Arlington.

Iowa State’s passing attack has been giving defenses fits all year, with QB Rocco Becht (3,021 pass yards, 20 TDs) slinging it to his dynamic duo of 1,000-yard receivers Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel.

The problem for the Cyclones? A leaky run defense that ranks 112th nationally (173.7 yards allowed/game) and second-worst in the Big 12. They got gashed for 237 rushing yards in that Kansas loss – not a great sign with Skattebo coming to town.

The betting trends favor ASU, who sport a sparkling 10-2 mark against the spread this season – second-best in the country. They’ve covered five straight, beating the number by an average of 14.2 points. Iowa State sits at a more modest 7-5 ATS.

Look for Arizona State’s potent ground game (195.0 yards/game) to control the clock and keep Becht watching from the sideline. Their revamped defense matches up well against Iowa State’s passing attack too.

Watch for Skattebo to have a field day on the fast track at Jerry World as the Sun Devils complete their remarkable run and book their ticket to the CFP.

Big 12 Championship Picks:

• Arizona State -1.5 (-115)
• Under 50.5 (-110)

Iowa State vs Arizona State Odds

The Sun Devils opened as 1-point chalk before sharp money pushed them up to -1.5. The total is holding steady at 50.5.

The current -1.5 spread suggests bookmakers give ASU about a 53.5% chance to cover and win outright. On the moneyline, Arizona State sits at -120 (54.5% implied probability) with Iowa State at even money (+100).

The line movement toward ASU shows how much respect they’ve earned from bettors lately. They’ve been crushing the spread during their 5-0 ATS run, covering by an average of 9.1 points during this stretch,

The Sun Devils have also been lighting up the scoreboard lately, with four of their last five games going over. But sharp money suggests this title game could be more of a grinder. The public is hammering the “over” in the CFB public betting trends, yet the line isn’t budging.

The under is definitely worth a look here – Iowa State’s last four games have all stayed under 50.5 points.

ISU vs ASU Head to Head History

These programs will meet for the first time Saturday, adding another layer of intrigue to the matchup.

The Cyclones are still chasing their first conference crown since 1912, with their only other Big 12 title game appearance ending in a 27-21 loss to Oklahoma back in 2020.

The Sun Devils haven’t won a conference title since sharing the Pac-10 crown with USC in 1996. Their last shot at one ended with a 38-14 loss to Stanford in the 2013 Pac-12 Championship.

Forks up! ASU fans are in Texas, ready to see the Sun Devils take on the Iowa State Cyclones in the Big 12 Championship game tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/1E89G7Rlkx

— ABC15 Arizona (@abc15) December 7, 2024

While there’s no history between these teams, ASU’s impressive road wins over ranked Oklahoma State and Kansas State bode well for their chances at a neutral site.

The Sun Devils have been giant killers this year, going 3-0 against ranked teams. Iowa State’s been more up-and-down versus the AP Top 25, sitting at 1-1.

The Cyclones took down #23 Kansas State last week but dropped a tight 23-22 decision to #13 Texas Tech at home in early November.

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