- Week 11 will be in the books once we’re done with the Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football
- Like any responsible gambler, we need to make sure we have enough of action on this thing
- Find two of my favorite Texans vs Cowboys player props to bet for this MNF matchup
Monday Night Football is a rite of passage for many gamblers. The fate of an entire week comes down to one final game. It’s literally like a weekly Super Bowl. Now it’s not always the best game, like tonight’s Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys matchup, but at the end of the day, it’s all we’ve got. And sometimes, games like tonight feature the best opportunities for moonshots. Lucky for us, I’ve thought about everything that could possibly happen tonight. The list of moves was long, but I was able to narrow it down to just two bets. If I had to guess, I’d say that both of these bets could easily go down as the greatest bets anyone has ever seen.
Texans vs Cowboys Player Prop Picks
Player | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Pick |
---|---|---|---|
Rico Dowdle (Cowboys) | 3.5 (Ov +129 / Un -179) | 20.5 (Ov -117 / Un -117) | 5+ Receptions (+270) |
Player | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Pick |
John Metchie (Texans) | 1.5 (Ov -123 / Un -111) | 13.5 (Ov -129 / Un -106) | 25+ Receiving Yards (+210) |
Odds as of November 18 at FanDuel, Caesars, and ESPN. Claim the FanDuel promo code to bet on Monday Night Football in Week 10.
Rico Uses His Hands
I get that running backs run the football but we entered the receiving back era a long time ago. If you can’t catch, then you can’t be a running back in the NFL anymore. That’s just the way it is.
Lucky for Rico Dowdle, he can catch and he was recently named the “lead back” in Dallas.
It’s officially the Rico Dowdle era in Dallas pic.twitter.com/Rp6btAElew
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) November 14, 2024
Here’s the thing, we may have caught the books sleeping at the wheel with this one. Like bad sleeping at the wheel. Like drive the car off the road bad. Running back receptions are more about environment than anything else. With that being said, we’ve got the perfect environment tonight.
For starters, Rico plays for the Dallas Cowboys who are 7-point underdogs at home. Translation, they are expected to get their asses kicked. When teams trail, they throw to get back into the game. That’s just how football works. But that’s not even the best part.
The best part of this is, Cooper Rush is the quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys. His ADOT is 6.5 yards. That is incredibly low. It’s indicative of a quarterback that is likely to dump the ball off basically all the time. In fact, Dowdle, has been targeted in the passing game 15 times in the last three weeks. Rush is responsible for nine of those targets and he only played five quarters of those three games.
If we’re being honest, this could easily be the greatest bet of all time. Maybe even better. Feels easy.
- The Pick: Rico Dowdle 5+ Receptions (+270) at Caesars
John Metchie Proves Last Week Was No Fluke
It’s been a tough road for John Metchie III but the future looks bright for this guy. He’s finally healthy on top of getting playing time. Last week, he turned in his best game as a pro posting a 5-74-1 line against the Detroit Lions.
The thing is, last week was no fluke.
Nick Caserio on John Metchie’s breakout game:
Points out that “he’s actually been open a lot when he’s played”
Shows that sometimes it’s just about opportunity. He was open all Jets game but CJ missed him & OL couldn’t hold up pic.twitter.com/3VGUd3wEwB
— Houston Stressans (@TexansCommenter) November 16, 2024
As a man who bet Metchie against the Jets on Halloween, the wide receiver situation in Houston is frustrating. But honestly, it isn’t Metchie’s fault. The guy is filthy and he proved it last week. I get it was a plus matchup but whatever.
This week the receiver situation in Houston is even more cloudy with the return of Nico Collins. Obviously he’s going to command attention and time snaps away from the other guys. The thing is, I think he takes snaps away from Xavier Hutchinson. Metchie started getting most of his playing time when Stefon Diggs went down.
Even if Metchie does lose snaps and targets, it’s hard to imagine it’s so bad that he can’t gain 25+ yards. The +210 price tag is just the cherry on top at this point. This feels like child’s play.
- The Pick: John Metchie 25+ Receiving Yards (+210) at ESPN
- 2024 SBD MNF Results – 9-10 (+1.49 Units)
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