- Week 8 of the NFL season still features another 15 games, meaning plenty of options for NFL parlay legs
- I am betting two different NFL parlays this Sunday
- See my longshot 86-1 odds NFL parlay and my higher-probability NFL parlay below
It’s time for another week of NFL parlay picks! My longshot parlay from last week was a dud, and injury robbed me of my higher-probability parlay too. With the betting gods owing me one after last week, I’m back in Week 8 with two more NFL parlays that I feel really good about!
After looking through all of the NFL betting lines for Week 8, I have constructed one longshot NFL parlay and one higher-probability NFL parlay that I’m playing. I have included some brief analysis on each pick from both parlays under the corresponding tables below.
Longshot Week 8 NFL Parlay
| Parlay Legs | Odds |
|---|---|
| Evan Engram 60+ Receiving Yards | +145 |
| AJ Brown 90+ Receiving Yards | +140 |
| Cedric Tillman 50+ Receiving Yards | +145 |
| Panthers Under 10.5 Points | +170 |
| D’Andre Swift Anytime Touchdown | +125 |
| TOTAL 5-LEG PARLAY | +8651 |
I put this parlay together at every major sports betting app with the intent of shopping for the best price, and found DraftKings to be the sportsbook with the best payout. A couple of the sportsbooks only do receiving yards in multiples of 25, and I didn’t want to do Evan Engram at 75+.
A $5 bet on my longshot NFL parlay would potentially profit $432.58. Here’s a quick rundown on why I like each of the five legs in this longshot parlay.
When healthy, Evan Engram is one of Trevor Lawrence’s favorite targets. Since returning from a four-game absence due to injury, Engram has been targeted 15 times and has caught every one of those targets, totaling 137 yards across two games. He was a little bit quieter last week in Jacksonville’s blowout win over the Patriots, but Lawrence only threw 20 passes in the game. I think Lawrence will be forced into throwing a lot more against the Packers, who will be able to take advantage of Jacksonville’s awful pass defense. With extra opportunities, I think Engram for 60+ receiving yards is a great bet. The Jags TE has actually gone for 60+ receiving yards in six of his last nine games.
The second leg of this parlay is AJ Brown for 90+ receiving yards. This is a total he has eclipsed in two of three games this season, with his most recent game against the Giants being the only one he came up short (89 yards). In a Week 8 matchup against a Bengals team who not only scores points, but gives up points too, Brown should see more than the five targets from last week. I suspect Philadelphia comes in building a game plan around attacking the lousy Bengals secondary with Brown.
AJ Brown in single coverage this season —
• 16 targets
• 16 receptions
• 325 yards
• 3 TDs
• 158.3 rating when targetedpic.twitter.com/2h9Z4SIW6D— Victor Williams (@ThePhillyPod) October 24, 2024
Cedric Tillman for 50+ receiving yards is the third leg of this NFL parlay. Tillman broke out last week, in what was Cleveland’s first game since trading Amari Cooper. The second-year wide receiver was targeted 12 times, second-most on the team, in the game and he turned the opportunities into eight catches for 81 yards. Two of those targets came from Jameis Winston, who will start for the Browns in Week 8, and Tillman hauled in one of them for 25 yards. With a much more serviceable QB under center, I like Tillman to continue having success, especially this Sunday against a Ravens defense that has allowed the most passing yards in the NFL. They’re also the best in the league against the run, so I don’t expect we’ll see Cleveland waste many plays running the ball, nor do I think they would have that luxury anyways.
Next up is the Panthers’ team total to be under 10.5 points. The Broncos defense that Carolina will face on Sunday has allowed the third-fewest points in the NFL, as well as the third-fewest yards. The Panthers have scored the fifth-fewest points in the league with the fourth-fewest total yards. But to make matters worse for Carolina, they’ll be sending Bryce Young out in Week 8, as Andy Dalton is recovering from an injury suffered in a car crash earlier this week. In the two games Young started this season, they scored 10 points against the Saints and three points against the Chargers. They totaled less than 200 yards of total offense in both of those games. I’m also not sure Bo Nix and the Broncos offense can put enough points on the board to allow for garbage time late in the game.
The final leg is a D’Andre Swift anytime TD, which I cover thoroughly in my Week 8 NFL TD picks.
Higher-Probability Week 8 NFL Parlay
| Parlay Legs | Odds |
|---|---|
| Lions -6.5 | -240 |
| Jets -2.5 | -280 |
| Jordan Love 200+ Passing Yards | -580 |
| TOTAL 3-LEG PARLAY | +125 |
My three-leg higher-probability parlay is best played at FanDuel for +125 odds. You can play this parlay as is at just about any sportsbook, but all the other come with a slightly worse payout.
The first two legs of this parlay are both alternate spreads. The first is Lions -6.5. I think Detroit is covering the actual spread in their game, so feel very good about this alt spread. We want to get through seven, which is a significant number in football, and we are achieving that with -6.5. Tennessee is a very bad team whose defense is overrated, in my opinion. Their offense won’t be able to get much done against a good Detroit defense.
The second alt spread is Jets -2.5. The goal here was to get through three, which is another significant number in football. I don’t see how the Jets could botch this one. New England is playing awful football and they’re less than a week removed from London. This is New York’s chance to start getting things right.
Jordan Love for 200+ passing yards has been a near certainty in his time as the Packers QB. Love has accomplished this in 16 straight regular season games, and 19 of his 22 regular season starts over the last two years. This Sunday he gets a bad Jaguars defense that’s giving up the third-most net yards per pass attempt. Jacksoville’s offense has also started to put things together a little, which only helps ensure Love is forced into enough passing situations.
The post Free Week 8 NFL Parlay Picks: Get 86-1 Odds with This 5-Leg Parlay appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
