- No. 3 Georgia faces a tough test against No. 16 Ole Miss on Saturday
- Sharp money has been pouring in on the Ole Miss Rebels all week
- Read below for our Georgia vs Ole Miss prediction and updated odds
A massive SEC showdown takes center stage this Saturday as No. 3 Georgia (7-1) visits No. 16 Ole Miss (7-2) in Oxford. The implications couldn’t be bigger – Georgia aims to keep their playoff hopes alive, while Ole Miss looks to play spoiler and improve their own chances.
The betting market continues to buzz with activity. After opening as 5-point favorites, the Bulldogs now sit at just -1.5 over the Rebels. ABC will broadcast this anticipated matchup at 3:30 PM ET, with millions expected to tune in nationwide.
The Rebels come into this one riding high after demolishing Arkansas last week. Meanwhile, the 2022-2023 champs have shown some cracks in their armor, making this showdown even more intriguing.
Georgia vs Ole Miss Prediction
Ole Miss put on a show last weekend. Jaxson Dart torched the Arkansas defense for 515 yards and six touchdowns. His favorite target, Jordan Watkins, dominated with five scores and 254 receiving yards. The Rebels’ dynamic offense keeps rolling, averaging over 11 yards per pass attempt this season.
Things haven’t looked as smooth for the Bulldogs lately. They managed a 14-point win over Florida last week, but Georgia didn’t look like their dominant selves. The biggest red flag? Carson Beck’s recent turnover issues – eight interceptions in his last three games.
Carson Beck has thrown two interceptions in the 1st half vs. Florida.
The Gators currently lead 7-3 pic.twitter.com/mjdFZlMBPC
— DraftKings (@DraftKings) November 2, 2024
Moreover, the UGA offense has been very underwhelming all season. The Bulldogs are averaging just 7.7 yards per pass attempt, and their rushing attack ranks outside the top 50 in the country in terms of efficiency. It could be a long day for the Bulldogs if Ole Miss can force Carson Beck into making mistakes.
Smart money also speaks volumes here. Sharp bettors have backed Ole Miss consistently throughout the week, driving the line down multiple points. The combination of the Rebels’ explosive offense and Georgia’s recent struggles makes the home underdog a very appealing bet.
Georgia at Ole Miss spread on @DKSportsbook has been a wild ride: pic.twitter.com/wXTzoZaToJ
— Julian Edlow (@julianedlow) November 9, 2024
Ultimately, I believe this game will come down to which team can make the most plays in key moments. And right now, I trust Jaxson Dart and the Ole Miss offense more than I trust Carson Beck and the Georgia offense. The Rebels have been making big plays all season, and I expect that to continue on Saturday.
The electric atmosphere at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium should give Ole Miss an extra boost. Every sign points toward the Rebels keeping this one super tight, if not pulling off the outright upset.
- Prediction: Ole Miss ML (+115)
For more CFB picks and parlays, check out my Week 11 Parlay article, where I highlight Ole Miss as an upset play.
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Updated Georgia vs Ole Miss Odds
The betting action tells quite a story this week. Sharp money quickly targeted Ole Miss after Georgia opened as 5-point road favorites. The spread now sits at Georgia -1.5, signaling the pros have strong confidence in the Rebels.
On the moneyline, Georgia stands at -125, while Ole Miss offers value at +115. Oddsmakers have set the total at 54.5 points, suggesting we’ll see plenty of offensive fireworks in Oxford.
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Georgia | -1.5 (-110) | -125 | Over 54.5 (-110) |
Ole Miss | +1.5 (-110) | +115 | Under 54.5 (-110) |
The recent play of both teams have clearly influenced the line movement. Ole Miss’s explosive offense, paired with Georgia’s turnover troubles, has caused many bettors to reevaluate this matchup. The Rebels have also proven tough against the spread, covering in four of their last five meetings with the Bulldogs.
Check out our full college football betting odds for more Week 11 lines and totals.
Odds as of November 9, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Grab a BetMGM promo code to wager on UGA-Mississippi.
I’ll help revise the head-to-head section to reflect the accurate historical data:
Georgia vs Ole Miss Head to Head
Georgia has dominated this series in recent meetings, winning five of their last six matchups against Ole Miss. However, the Rebels have shown they can compete, covering the spread in a few of these contests.
Here’s how their recent meetings have played out:
Date | Result | Spread | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Nov 11, 2023 | Georgia 52, Ole Miss 17 | Georgia -11 (Georgia covers) | Over 59 |
Sep 24, 2016 | Ole Miss 45, Georgia 14 | Ole Miss -7 (Ole Miss covers) | Over 61 |
Nov 3, 2012 | Georgia 37, Ole Miss 10 | Georgia -13.5 (Georgia covers) | Under 61.5 |
Sep 24, 2011 | Georgia 27, Ole Miss 13 | Georgia -10 (Georgia covers) | Under 53.5 |
Sep 29, 2007 | Georgia 45, Ole Miss 17 | Georgia -15.5 (Georgia covers) | Over 50 |
Sep 30, 2006 | Ole Miss 14, Georgia 9 | Ole Miss +17.5 (Ole Miss covers) | Under 37 |
The numbers tell an interesting story. While Georgia has largely controlled this series, Ole Miss’s 2016 blowout victory shows they’re capable of stunning the Bulldogs when everything clicks. With Saturday’s line sitting at just 1.5 points, the Rebels have their best opportunity yet to score another signature win.
Given Ole Miss’s explosive offense, Georgia’s recent struggles, and the sharp betting action, everything points toward a potential upset in Oxford. The Rebels look primed to make a statement on their home turf this Saturday.
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