• Our Navy vs Army prediction backs the under in this classic rivalry game
• The latest Army vs Navy odds favor the Black Knights by over a touchdown
• Read on for Navy vs Army picks, betting preview and updated odds

The Navy Midshipmen (8-3) and Army Black Knights (11-1) will meet for the 125th time on Saturday, December 14 at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET in this classic rivalry game that dates back to 1890. The matchup will be broadcast nationally on CBS.

Army enters as 6.5-point favorites with the over/under set at 39 points at most sportsbooks. The Black Knights are -240 on the moneyline, implying a 70.6% win probability. Early sharp action has come in on the under, dropping the total from 42.5 to 39.

Here is our Army vs Navy prediction, along with updated odds and trends for Saturday’s military game.

Army vs Navy Prediction

Army is enjoying a historic season, capturing the AAC Conference title with a dominant 35-14 win over Tulane last week to improve to 11-1. The Black Knights’ lone loss came against Notre Dame. Navy started 6-0 but has gone just 2-3 in their last five, getting blown out by Notre Dame and Tulane.

Both teams rely heavily on their rushing attacks out of the triple-option. Army leads the nation in rushing at 314.2 yards per game. Quarterback Bryson Daily has been a force, tying for the FBS lead with 29 rushing touchdowns to go with his 1,480 yards on the ground. Navy’s QB Blake Horvath has battled injuries but is a dual-threat with 895 rushing yards.

THIS STIFF ARM BY BRYSON DAILY pic.twitter.com/B1GDlRfkh4

— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 12, 2024

Defensively, Army allows the 7th-fewest points in the country at just 15 per game. The Black Knights have held 9 of 12 opponents under 15 points. Navy’s defense has struggled more, especially against the run where they rank 83rd.

The under has been a reliably profitable bet in service academy games. Since 2006, games involving Army, Navy and Air Force are 44-11-1 (80%) to the under. In their last 10 meetings, Army and Navy have stayed under 40 points every time.

Sharp bettors have already made their opinion clear, hammering the under and moving the total from 42.5 to 39. History and the defensive-minded, run-heavy nature of this rivalry point to another low-scoring battle.

Prediction: Under 39 is the best bet. Army’s elite defense and both teams’ clock-chewing rushing attacks set the stage for this trend of unders between the service academies to continue. Back the under with confidence.

Army vs Navy Pick:

• Under 39 Points (-110)

Updated Army vs Navy Odds

The point spread opened with Army as 4.5-point favorites before early money pushed it to -7. It has since settled at Army -6.5 at the majority of sportsbooks. At -6.5, the oddsmakers are giving Navy a 30.8% implied probability of pulling the small upset.

The total opened at 42.5 but has plummeted to 39 thanks to respected under money. In a matchup that has stayed under 40 points in 10 straight meetings, the smart money clearly expects another low-scoring affair.

On the moneyline, Army is a -240 favorite, translating to a 70.6% implied win probability. Navy is a +200 underdog. To put that in perspective, you would need to risk $240 on Army to win $100, while a $100 bet on Navy would net $200 in profit.

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Odds as of December 14, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Sign up with the BetMGM promo code to bet on Army vs Navy today.

Navy vs Army Head to Head

Army has won six of the last eight meetings against Navy straight up and has covered the spread in five of those. The under is 3-1-1 in the past five meetings, pushing last season due to being set historically low at 28 points.

Here is a look at Army vs Navy recent head-to-head results:

The Black Knights lead the all-time series 65-61-7. However, the headline trend is the consistency of low-scoring defensive battles when these rivals meet. The under is 16-1-1 in their last 18 games.

With both teams excelling at controlling the clock with their rushing attacks and playing stingy defense, all signs point to another grind-it-out game decided in the trenches. Bet on the under and expect more of the same in this year’s Army-Navy clash.

The post Expert Army vs Navy Prediction, Updated Odds & Betting Trends (Dec. 14) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.