- Which Week 4 NFL player props should you target?
- I’ve got my eyes on Watson’s passing yards vs Raiders, among others
- Below, see the best early NFL player props to target for Week 4
The 2024 NFL season is well underway, and now it’s time to shift our attention to Week 4. NFL player props for Week 4 will soon be available at sportsbooks, and I’ve got my eye on several potential over/unders.
One of my favorite player props for Week 4 can be found in the Cleveland vs Las Vegas showdown, where I forecast Deshaun Watson to have his first 200-plus yard passing game of the season against the Raiders’ struggling defense. Elsewhere, Steelers’ running back Cordarrelle Patterson lands a favorable matchup against Indianapolis.
Let’s dive further into the early NFL player props I’m targeting for Week 4.
NFL Week 4 Player Props to Target
| Player (Team) | Prop |
|---|---|
| Deshaun Watson (CLE) | Over Passing Yards |
| Cordarrelle Patterson (PIT) | Over Rushing Yards |
| Cole Kmet (CHI) | Anytime TD |
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Deshaun Watson Passing Yards
Nobody is rushing to bet Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson in the NFL Player props right now, for various reasons. But that’s part of why I’m locking him in as one of my top NFL Week 4 early NFL Player props to target.
Watson has had an ugly start to the 2024-25 campaign, throwing for just 551 yards and three TDs and two interceptions through three contests. In Week 3 vs the Giants, Watson completed just 56.8% of his passes in a 21-15 loss. New York sacked the controversial QB eight times.
.@AmariCooper9 walks right in for 6#NYGvsCLE on @NFLonFox and NFL+ pic.twitter.com/RgVdF8U69S
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) September 22, 2024
The Browns now travel to Las Vegas to face the Raiders in Week 4. I like the chances of Watson turning in his first 200-plus yard passing game of the season. The Raiders are struggling on defense, recently allowing Panthers QB Andy Dalton to throw for 319 yards and 3 TDs.
Watson’s passing yards props should be set in the low 200s, and I’m going over on anything below 210. The Raiders are allowing 7.32 yards per attempt in 2024, providing Watson with the ideal opportunity to quiet some of the noise around his miserable start to the season.
- NFL Prop Pick: Deshaun Watson Over 210 Passing Yards
Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards
Another player I’ve got my eye on in the Week 4 NFL player props is Pittsburgh Steelers running back Cordarrelle Patterson. The veteran RB could see increased usage in Week 4 with Najee Harris listed on the injury report with an arm injury.
The Steelers are going up against an Indianapolis Colts team that has been shredded on the ground by talented backs. Houston’s Joe Mixon rushed for 159 yards against Indy, while Green Bay’s Josh Jacobs also got over the 150-yard threshold against them.
Patterson was utilized pretty heavily this past weekend against the Chargers. The 34-year-old was on the field for 34 percent of the Steelers’ offensive snaps Sunday, which was tied with fellow backup running back Jaylen Warren.
Patterson outperformed Warren, however, accumulating 33 rush yards and catching three of five targets for 15 air yards. There’s a strong chance he builds off this performance in Week 4, so look to lock in the “over” on his rushing yards props.
- NFL Prop Pick: Cordarrelle Patterson Over Rushing Yards
Cole Kmet Anytime TD
One of my favorite anytime TD bets for Week 4 is Cole Kmet of the Chicago Bears to record a touchdown. The 25-year-old is coming off a breakout performance in Week 3 with 97 receiving yards and a TD in a loss to the Colts.
Kmet started slow this season but he’s starting to click with Bears rookie quarterback Caleb Williams. The tight end benefitted from the absence of Keenan Allen (heel) but Williams still threw the ball a whopping 50-plus times in that game.
Caleb Williams is feasting with Cole Kmet across the middle of the field.
Almost like it shouldn’t have taken 3 weeks for Shane Waldron to realize that would be smart. #Bears
— Jacob Infante (@jacobinfante24) September 22, 2024
Even if Chicago is healthier for this game against the Rams, I’m looking to target Kmet to find paydirt. The Bears are unable to run the ball efficiently this season and Williams should have another high-volume throwing day Sunday.
The Rams have given up the most yards per reception to tight ends this season (11.53), which sets up Kmet nicely for another big game. His receiving prop will likely be slightly inflated based on Week 3, but there should be solid plus-money value on him getting a TD.
- NFL Prop Pick: Cole Kmet Anytime TD
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The post Early NFL Player Props to Target for Week 4: Watson, Patterson & More appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
