• The Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles battle for first-place in the NFC East on Thursday
• The Eagles have won five of the last six against the Commanders, including both games last year
• See the Commanders vs Eagles predictions and best bets for Thursday Night Football on Nov. 14

The two-horse race in the NFC East will take center stage on Thursday Night Football in Week 11 as the Washington Commanders (7-3, 3-2 away, ATS) visit the Philadelphia Eagles (7-2, 3-1 home, ATS) at Lincoln Financial Field at 8:15 pm ET. Winners of five straight, the red-hot Eagles are 3.5-point betting favorites. A win on Thursday would give Philly a 1.5-game lead on Washington with just six games remaining on the Commanders’ schedule.

WSH Commanders vs PHI Eagles Predictions

• Commanders +3.5 (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook
• Over 48.5 points (-110) at ESPN Bet
  

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With Washington catching more than a field goal, I’m taking the visitors to cover in what’s sure to be a ferociously-hostile, playoff-like atmosphere at the Linc. At this point, rookie QB Jayden Daniels is a rookie in name only. The 23-year-old, who is the runaway favorite in the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, also finds himself a top-five favorite in the NFL MVP odds in his first season thanks to a 101.7 passer rating plus a team-leading 464 rushing yards.

Though they sit half a game behind Philly in the standings, the Commanders have a slightly better point differential (+73 vs +72) and a slightly better DVOA rating (+19.4%, 7th vs +17.6%, 8th) than the Eagles. Their defense hasn’t been great but it’s still one of the most-improved units, on either side of the ball, compared to last year. Washington is allowing just 21.7 PPG, more than a touchdown better than last season, when they gave up a league-worst 30.5 PPG.

Philadelphia’s win streak is undeniably impressive, but every single victory came against a team that’s at least two games under .500. The combined record of the teams the Eagles have played over the last five weeks (Browns, Giants, Bengals, Jaguars, Cowboys sans Dak Prescott) is 13-35. Nick Sirianni has certainly built a capable team, and Saquon Barkley is proving there’s still a ton of juice left in his 27-year-old legs (it was being a Giant that was the problem), but this is a big spread to cover against an offense as electric as Washington’s.

The Commanders just put up 27 points on TJ Watt and the Steelers in a losing effort (28-27), more than ten points higher than Pittsburgh’s defensive scoring average for the season, which was 14.9 PPG heading into the game. Daniels and company will keep this one close throughout.

I am also expecting the over to hit. As much as Washington’s defense has improved, the Eagles are still going to score some points. Philly has hit at least 28 points in each of its last four games.

 Best Commanders vs Eagles Odds

The Commanders/Eagles lines have been bet into near uniformity over the last couple days. The point spread is currently Eagles -3.5 at all books with only slight variations in the odds. Most books have the spread at -110 both ways but Caesars is offering -105 on the Commanders to cover, while BetMGM and FanDuel have the Eagles -3.5 at -105.

There is almost no discrepancy in the game total, either, in the latest NFL odds. Almost every sportsbook has the total at 48.5 with -110 odds both ways. The only outlier at the moment is DraftKings, which has the under priced at -108 and the over at -112, though that could always change in the next 36 hours.

On the moneyline, BetMGM also has the best line on a Philly SU win at -183 (all other books are -190 or shorter). ESPN Bet has the longest odds on a Washington victory at +165.

As well as Daniels has played this season, oddsmakers still don’t give the idea of a rookie QB winning a championship much credence. Washington remains a +2500 longshot in the 2025 Super Bowl odds, more than twice as long as the Eagles (+1100).

The post Commanders vs Eagles Predictions & Best Odds for TNF (Week 11) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.