- Colorado travels to UCF after a thrilling overtime victory over Baylor last week
- UCF is a two-touchdown favorite in this Big 12 showdown
- Keep reading for the latest Colorado vs UCF odds, spread, and prediction for Saturday, September 28
Colorado won last week after forcing overtime on a Hail Mary vs Baylor. That was their second straight win both SU and ATS after losing to Nebraska. Now they travel to the Bounce House to battle KJ Jefferson and UCF on Saturday. UCF heads into this game with a 3-0 record and had a bye week last week. They beat TCU on the road 35-34 in their last time out.
This is the first time these two programs have ever played.
Colorado vs UCF Odds
| Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Buffaloes | +14 (-110) | +425 | O 61.5 (-115) |
| UCF Knights | -14 (-110) | -550 | U 61.5 (-105) |
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UCF Betting Trends
UCF’s offense has been incredible to start the season. They are averaging 570.7 yards per game, which is good for third in the country. These yards have primarily come from their run game. The Knights have run the ball at least 54 times in each of their first three games and lead the FBS in rushing yards per game with 376.
Their rushing attack is led by a trio of running backs who all average at least 6.6 yards per carry. RJ Harvey is the main back and leads the team with eight touchdowns, but Peny Boone and Myles Montgomery have also been effective. Quarterback KJ Jefferson has also contributed over 100 rushing yards on the season with a rushing touchdown.
The Knights are 1-0 in Big 12 play after beating TCU two weeks ago in a comeback effort. Besides that game, they have two blowout wins over New Hampshire and Sam Houston. UCF is 3-0 against the spread.
UCF has a strong rush defense, but they have been vulnerable through the air. This was evident in their game vs TCU where they gave up over 400 yards passing. The over is 3-0 in UCF’s games this season.
Colorado Betting Trends
The Buffaloes are 3-1 straight up this season and 2-2 against the spread. Colorado has covered the spread in six of their last nine games dating back to last season.
cinema
@shedeursanders x @la_wester pic.twitter.com/sebKdQFYEk
— Colorado Buffaloes Football (@CUBuffsFootball) September 22, 2024
In just about any game they play, Colorado has the two best players on the field in Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter. They continue to make play after play even at the times when Colorado hasn’t looked efficient. Their biggest issue last year was their offensive line and defensive line and despite all the transfers, that is still their biggest issue. After being the most sacked quarterback in college football last year, Sanders was sacked eight times against Baylor last week.
On the defensive side of the ball, Colorado has allowed over 150 yards rushing per game. This will be another tough game in the trenches for the Buffaloes.
Colorado vs UCF Prediction
The forecast is calling for rain and wind and that will help UCF much more than Colorado. The scheduling spot of this game also favors the Knights. They are at home after a bye, and this is Colorado’s third road game in the last four weeks.
UCF has a huge advantage in the trenches and will once again lean on their strong run game. I believe that will be too much for Colorado’s defense who has given up a lot of big plays on the ground this season.
Even if UCF’s defense has not been great, Colorado’s offensive line will give them plenty of opportunities to sack Shedeur Sanders and force them into third and longs. The Buffaloes will not be able to run the ball against the Knights, so they will lean on their passing attack which could be influenced by the weather. I like the Bounce House to be rocking in the rain on Saturday and for UCF to win by at least two touchdowns.
Colorado-UCF Pick:
- UCF -14 (-110)
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