- The Atlanta Braves are -154 favorites in the opener of a 3-game set with the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
- Both teams are riding six-game win streaks
- Don’t miss the latest Braves vs Phillies picks and starting pitchers below
Two of the hottest teams in baseball clash in the City of Brotherly love, as the Atlanta Braves (46-26, 22-11 away) visit the Philadelphia Phillies (38-34, 19-11 home), in a game that suddenly has some implications in the NL East.
Philadelphia has been on a tear in June, going 13-4 and currently riding a 6-game win streak after sweeping the Oakland A’s. They’ve climbed four games over .500, and can cut into an 8-game Atlanta lead.
Atlanta is on its own 6-game fun-run, after crushing the Colorado Rockies in a 4-game sweep at home.
The first of this three-game set goes Tuesday (June 20) at 6:40pm from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. You can watch the game live on TBS.
Braves vs Phillies Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | -154 | -1.5 (+112) | Ov 8.5 (-122) |
| Philadelphia Phillies | +130 | +1.5 (-128) | Un 8.5 (+100) |
The NL East-leading Braves are the chalk in Tuesday’s MLB odds, sitting at -154 on the moneyline, an implied win probability of 60.63%. A total of 8.5 runs has been set for this matchup.
Atlanta is the highest-scoring team in the National League, piling up 5.5 runs per game, with a league-best 126 home runs and a .818 OPS. They’re also tied for the 5th-best ERA at 3.77. At 22-11, they are tied for the best road record in baseball.
Philadelphia is middle-of-the-pack in scoring, putting up 4.4 runs per game, and sit in 12th with a .742 OPS. They are ninth in batting with a .258 average. At 19-11 at Citizens Bank, Philly has the fewest home losses in the NL.
Odds as of June 19 at FanDuel. Check out SBD’s FanDuel review or another one of North America’s top sports betting sites.
Probable Pitchers
After giving up two runs or less in 10 of his first 12 starts, Atlanta’s Spencer Strider has been hit hard in his last couple of outings.
He got the win against the Tigers last game, but Strider went just five innings, giving up seven hits, five earned runs and three homers. He walked two and struck out six.
Miguel Cabrera’s first homer of the year is off Spencer Strider.
No. 508. pic.twitter.com/ftqpXAz0TC
— Nolan Bianchi (@nolanbianchi) June 14, 2023
Prior to that, he was shelled for eight earned runs on eight hits, lasting just four innings against the Mets. He surrendered two more home runs, walking two and striking out eight, though Atlanta came back to win 13-10 in 10 innings.
Perhaps Philly is the perfect opponent: he’s a career 5-0 against the with a 1.65 ERA in five appearances (four starts).
Strider vs Suarez Stats
| 7-2 | Record | 1-2 |
| 4.12 | ERA | 3.82 |
| 1.13 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| .287 | OBA | .316 |
| 4.23 | SO/W Ratio | 2.92 |
Ranger Suarez has pitched extremely well in June, with three quality starts and his first win of the year.
Last time out, he went seven strong, giving up just four hits and no runs, walking two while fanning seven in a game the Phils eventually won 4-3 in 10 innings.
In his previous start, he went six innings, giving up four hits, one earned run with two walks and eight strikeouts, which resulted in a 5-4 win over the Dodgers.
Suarez is 2-2 with a 3.21 ERA in 15 career games against the Braves, six of those as a starter.
Schwarber Mashing For Phils
The offensive force behind the Phils’ resurgence is Kyle Schwarber. In a 3-2 win over the A’s to complete the sweep, he had three hits out of the leadoff spot, including a home run and an RBI.
He has seven dingers and 14 RBI in the month of June. His 20 home runs are tied for fourth in MLB.
Schwune 18th #RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/5mJbL2HG2B
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) June 18, 2023
Atlanta has been mashing themselves, piling up 40 runs across four games against Colorado, the finale a 14-6 romp.
Eddie Rosario went yard twice and drove in six, while Ozzie Albies had three hits, a home run and three RBI. Michael Harris was a perfect 5-5 with three runs scored and three RBI’s, and he also launched one into the stands.
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Braves vs Phillies Prediction
Atlanta hasn’t fared well in Philly of late, having won just two times in their last seven visits. However, the Braves are an impressive 40-23 as the betting favorite, which ranks eighth and they trail only Tampa for the second-most wins.
Braves vs Phillies 2023 H2H Results
| Date | Away Team | Home Team | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28 | Phillies | Braves | ATL, 11-4 |
| May 27 | Phillies | Braves | PHI, 2-1 |
| May 26 | Phillies | Braves | PHI, 6-4 |
| May 25 | Phillies | Braves | ATL, 8-5 |
The Phillies, meanwhile, are just 10-17 as an underdog, but that record flips to 4-1 as a home dog.
In three of their four meetings this season, the two teams have gone over the set total for this one. The over has hit in five straight in this head-to-head at Citizens Bank and 8-2-1 in the last 11 games overall.
With two teams waving some hot bats and Strider struggling, take the over in what should be a great start to this series.
Pick: OVER 8.5 runs (-122)
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