- AFC East rivals clash when the Bills visit the Dolphins on Thursday Night Football
- Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa and Buffalo pivot Josh Allen have hefty passing-prop totals
- See all the Bills vs Dolphins player props including passing, rushing, receiving, and TD props for TNF
After each picking up a win to start the season, it’s a short turnaround when the Buffalo Bills clash with the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium Thursday night.
Miami put up the sixth-most yards in Week 1, while Buffalo had the third-highest score, so there should be plenty of fireworks and NFL player props to choose from.
Fins’ pivot Tua Tagovailoa has the higher passer-yards total at 265.5 yards, with Josh Allen in at 244.5.
With both De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert dinged up heading into Week 2, Buffalo’s James Cook is the only RB with a rushing-yards total on the board.
See the full list of Bills vs Dolphins player props and odds, below, as well as my top picks.
Bills vs Dolphins Player Props
| Passer | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen (BUF) | 21.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 244.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 1.5 (O +100 | U -130) |
| Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) | 21.5 (O -130 | U +100) | 265.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 1.5 (O -130 | U +100) |
| Rusher | Rushing Attempts | Rushing Yards | Longest Rush |
| James Cook (BUF) | OFF | 61.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 13.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | OFF | 37.5 (O -110 | U -120) | OFF |
| Receiver | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| Curtis Samuel (BUF) | 1.5 (O -160 | U +125) | 17.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 12.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
| Dalton Kincaid (BUF) | 4.5 (O -105 | U -125) | 44.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 18.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
| Dawson Knox (BUF) | OFF | 12.5 (O -130 | U +100) | 9.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| James Cook (BUF) | 2.5 (O -135 | U +105) | 18.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 11.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Jaylen Waddle (MIA) | 4.5 (-140 | U +110) | 64.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 23.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Keon Coleman (BUF) | 3.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 43.5 (O -120 | U -110) | OFF |
| Khalil Shakir (BUF) | 3.5 (O -110 | U -120) | 39.5 (O -120 | U -110) | 19.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
| Tyreek Hill (MIA) | 6.5 (-140 | U +110) | 96.5 (O -115 | U -115) | 29.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
Tyreek Hill easily clears as the highest receiving yard prop at 96.5, with teammate Jaylen Waddle firmly in second at 64.5 yards.
Buffalo tight end Dalton Kincaid is the Bills’ top reception target, at 4.5 grabs.
Odds as of Sept 11 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the promo code for DraftKings before betting on Bills vs Dolphins on TNF.
Bills vs Dolphins Player Prop #1: Josh Allen Passing Yards
Allen’s workmanlike line against the Cardinals probably doesn’t elicit that much confidence in the Bills as an offensive juggernaut.
He was 18-for-23 for 232 yards and 2 TD’s, as Buffalo awoke from a 17-3 deficit to win 34-28.
Thursday should be a good litmus test as to where this Bills’ offense is though, as Allen has torched the Dolphins in five straight starts, throwing for a low of 304 yards, while averaging 347 passing yards.
No Steph Diggs and Gabe Davis? No problem, as Allen spread the love Sunday. Keon Coleman led the team in catches with four, and nine different Bills hauled in a pass.
That should be much the same Thursday in Miami. Perhaps Allen doesn’t go nuclear, but throwing for 245 shouldn’t be a problem.
- Bills vs Dolphins Prop Picks: Allen OVER 244.5 yards passing (-120); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
BUF vs MIA Player Prop #2: Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
In his two seasons since joining the Dolphins, it feels like he’s lit just about everyone on fire. And then you pull up his stats against the Bills.
In five games against Buffalo, Hill’s receiving yard high is 83.
It’s been a rough week, as he was handcuffed and forced to the ground by police during a traffic stop outside Hard Rock prior to the game vs the Jaguars.
Tyreek Hill. 80 yards for a TD!
📺: #JAXvsMIA on CBS/Paramount+
📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/fNSbBgqRVI— NFL (@NFL) September 8, 2024
While it didn’t affect his play on the field — Hill went for seven catches, 130 yards and a score — Hill has been on a media junket discussing the incident, while on a short week, with a team that makes it priority #1 to have him blanketed.
On top of that, Tua’s struggles against Buffalo are a big part of why Sascha Paruk is taking the Buffalo moneyline in his Bills vs Dolphins prediction.
It might be crazy to bet against the explosive Hill, but I’ll stick to trend until he shows otherwise.
- Bills vs Dolphins Prop Picks: Hill UNDER 96.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Bills vs Dolphins Touchdown Scorer Props
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Any TD |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill (MIA) | +550 | -140 |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +650 | -115 |
| DeVon Achane (MIA) | +700 | +115 |
| Raheem Mostert (MIA) | +850 | +130 |
| Jaylen Waddle (MIA) | +900 | +130 |
| James Cook (BUF) | +1000 | +150 |
| Jeff Wilson Jr. (MIA) | +1000 | +190 |
| Jaylen Wright (MIA) | +1100 | +190 |
| Dalton Kincaid (BUF) | +1400 | +210 |
| Keon Coleman (BUF) | +1600 | +230 |
Hill has the shortest odds of any player to find the end zone at -140, with Josh Allen the only other player in the field with minus odds to score a TD.
Bills vs Dolphins Player Prop #3: Allen Anytime Touchdown
Allen showed again Sunday that he’s Buffalo’s most dangerous red zone threat, as he scored on a pair of TD runs inside the Cardinals’ 10-yard line.
The Bills’ pivot, who enters Week 2 with the second-best NFL MVP odds to Patrick Mahomes, has now scampered into the end zone in eight of his last nine games.
Looking for a little more juice? Consider wideout Khalil Shakir. He had a beautiful catch and run score vs Arizona, giving him three scores in three straight games.
You’re getting +255 odds he makes it a fourth.
- Bills vs Dolphins Prop Picks: Allen anytime touchdown (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
Last week: 0-3, -3 units
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