- NFC West rivals the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks face off tonight on Thursday Night Football
- Under 24.5 points in the first half leads off tonight’s TNG same-game parlay
- Below, see all three legs of a +850 49ers vs Seahawks SGP for TNF
Thursday Night Football heads to the west coast for the first time this season when NFC West rivals the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks face off at Lumen Field. Tonight’s kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm ET. Both the 49ers and Seahawks are looking to bounce back from tragic finishes, but is four days enough time to regroup and recover? I’m expecting the short turnaround from Sunday to result in the under hitting for total points in the first half.
49ers vs Seahawks Same-Game Parlay Picks
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| First Half Under 24.5 Points | -120 |
| Brock Purdy Passing Yards Over 252.5 | -115 |
| George Kittle Anytime Touchdown Scorer | +140 |
| TOTAL SF vs SEA SGP ODDS | +850 |
After shopping around for tonight’s SGP, I found the best payout for tonight’s three-leg 49ers vs Seahawks same-game parlay is the +850 offered at DraftKings.
Odds as of October 10th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Use the latest DraftKings promo code before betting on 49ers vs Seahawks.
It felt like last week’s Buccaneers vs Falcons SGP was destined to hit, based off how Tampa was cruising into halftime. The Bucs were up by 7, Baker Mayfield put up 131 passing yards, and a Chris Godwin touchdown was all but imminent.
Alas, there are no guarantees when it comes to NFL SGPs, particularly in the second half of games. Sometimes, there’s nothing you can do but watch Kirk Cousins go bananas and completely change the trajectory of everything.
That’s why I’m leading off my Week 6 Thursday Night Football SGP with a first-half O/U pick. With two more legs added in, today’s NFL same-game parlay adds up to +850, where a $100 bet would net a profit of $850, but only if all three legs hit. The 49ers vs Seahawks odds list the Niners are 3.5-point road favorites.
49ers vs Seahawks Same-Game Parlay Pick #1: First Half Under 24.5 Points
My gut feeling for this leg initially had me leaning towards the over, but the more I researched the the Niners & Seahawks’ respective 2024 seasons, the quicker I started going in the other direction.
Yes, San Francisco and Seattle are averaging a combined 28.0 first half points points so far in 2024, which admittedly bodes well for the over.
That’s particularly true when the the 49ers’ share of that average has gone up to 16.0, thanks in part to two strong first half performances at home (20 pts vs New England & 23 pts vs Arizona).
However, the key here is “at home.” When they’re on the road, the 49ers’ 1H P/G in 2024 drops to 10.5. When combined with Seattle’s 1H P/G of 12.0, you’ll start to see why we’re favoring the first half under for Thursday night.
Ultimately, games involving San Francisco in 2024 have seen their first half point totals go over 24.5 just once in five games. Though the Seahawks have already gone over that total twice this year, it’s never happened at home. That’s why I’m taking the under in the first half.
49ers vs Seahawks Same-Game Parlay Pick #2: Brock Purdy Passing Yards Over 252.5
On our second leg this week, I’m looking for Brock Purdy to exploit a passing defense that’s dipped over the past two weeks.
Putting up the eighth-best pass defense in the league after five games is not something to ignore, but some context may explain why the Seahawks’ numbers are a little too gaudy for their own good.
In their first three games, they held opposing quarterbacks to 132, 125, and 140 passing yards. Those are some high-quality numbers, right? I’d agree if they weren’t achieved against a rookie QB in his first ever start (Denver), the third-worst passing offense in the league (New England), and a team with their franchise QB on the IR (Miami).
Brock Purdy has been a slayer of the Seahawks so far
Record: 4-0
Team PPG: 30.3
Total YPG: 287.0
TDs / INT: 9 / 2
Passer Rating: 115.1
EPA per Dropback: 0.24 pic.twitter.com/4ycI9A2DVU— The 33rd Team (@The33rdTeamFB) October 9, 2024
All things considered, Purdy has not looked his best in recent weeks. Watching him throw three interceptions in the two weeks while his completion percentage dips below league average has been disappointing to say the least.
However, the 49ers are still the fourth-best passing team in the league, with Purdy surpassing 253 yards in three games already this season, while coming up just short in another. While Eric Rosales has the over on Jordan Mason’s rushing yards in his 49ers vs Seahawks player props, I’m counting on Purdy to at least hit 250 again Thursday night.
49ers vs Seahawks Same-Game Parlay Pick #3: George Kittle Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Originally, I was going to lean towards Kenneth Walker III for this week’s Anytime Touchdown pick. However, not only did the odds feel too safe (-125) against a team with the 11th-best rushing defense, but the George Kittle Anytime TD odds looked just a little too good to pass up.
There’s a reason for it, naturally, with Kittle is not yet over his rib injury. However, his full practice participation on Wednesday has me wanting to jump on those longer odds while I still can.
So far this season, Kittle leads the 49ers in receptions despite sitting third in targets, while also leading in touchdowns and red zone targets. He’s also scored five touchdowns in his last four games against Seattle, including a pair of two-touchdown games at Seattle in 2021 and 2022.
I may regret not opting for Walker III for this week’s SGP (or even adding him to juice a 4-legged SGP for +1600), but for the value I’m getting, Kittle is a solid option.
Ian’s 2024 NFL SGP Record: 1-3, +4.83 units
The post Best 49ers vs Seahawks Same-Game Parlay Picks for TNF Week 6 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
