- Tuesday is election day in the United States
- Donald Trump remains a slight favorite over Kamala Harris on the morning of the 2024 Presidential Election
- Below, see the current 2024 Presidential Election odds and how they have moved over the course of election day
Four years in the making, election day has arrived. Americans head to the ballot box on Tuesday, November 5, with the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump extremely close according to all polls. The first table below displays the latest Presidential Election odds at bet365 and William Hill. The graph underneath the table shows the average odds, and how the odds have moved over the course of election day. On the morning of Nov. 5, Trump was a -149 favorite on average (59.84% implied win probability) with Harris a +133 underdog (42.92% implied win probability).
Live Presidential Election Odds
Candidate | bet365 Odds | William Hill Odds | DraftKings Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Kamala Harris | +140 | +140 | +135 |
Donald Trump | -163 | -163 | -165 |
Odds updated 11:45 am ET, November 5. Read SBD’s political betting sites FAQ.
SPORTSBOOK
In a surprise move, DraftKings has re-posted their election futures as of Tuesday morning. DK was one of several books to remove election odds after the assassination attempt on Trump in Butler, PA, on July 13.
Presidential Election Odds Timeline:
- 11:45 am ET: The odds are narrowing again, with Harris improving from +143 to +138 over the past 45 minutes and Trump fading from -160 to -157.
- 10:58 am ET: Trump improved incrementally over the last hour, going from -159 to -160 with Harris fading from +142 to +143.
- 9:59 am ET: The odds are narrowing once again, with Trump falling from -162 to -159 on average. Harris has improved from +145 to +142 over the last hour.
- 8:37 am ET: The betting odds have moved a little further to Trump over night: he is now the -162 chalk, on average, compared to Harris at +145.
- 1:05 am ET: Trump has shortened ever so slightly to -151 over the last hour or so, with Harris dropping from +133 to +135.
- 12:25 am ET: In the wee hours of the morning on Nov. 5, Trump is a -149 favorite on average with Harris a +133 underdog. That represents a slight improvement for Trump compared to Monday, when he closed at -131. Harris has faded from +115 on Nov. 4.
Harris vs Trump Odds (Nov. 5 Timeline)
The table below lists the same information in the graph above (i.e. the odds for both Harris and Trump at various points on Nov. 5) in table-format.
Election Day Trends
Time | Kamala Harris Avg. | Donald Trump Avg. |
---|---|---|
11:45 am ET | +138 | -157 |
10:58 am ET | +143 | -160 |
9:59 am ET | +142 | -159 |
8:37 am ET | +145 | -162 |
1:05 am ET | +135 | -151 |
12:25 am ET | +133 | -149 |
Notably, fivethirtyeight.com contradicts the betting odds and says that Harris is the slight favorite. In their simulations, Harris wins the 2024 election 50 times out of 100 while Trump takes back the White House in 49 instances.
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