• #4 Ohio State is now a 3-point road favorite over #3 Penn State in Week 10 college football action on Saturday, November 2
• Penn State star QB Drew Allar’s is expected to start despite suffering a knee injury last week
• Check out the Ohio State vs Penn State updated odds, pick and our prediction below

He’s likely not operating at 100 per cent, but Drew Allar is expected to start when his third-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions (7-0, 4-0 Big Ten) host the fourth-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes (6-1, 3-1). That’s again moved the spread in this massive Big Ten showdown with plenty of College Football Playoff implications on the line.

Ohio State vs Penn State Odds

Ohio State has now settled into a 3-point favorite in the Week 10 college football odds. The total has stayed the same throughout, at 47.5 points.

Kickoff is set for Noon ET at Beaver Stadium, in University Park, PA, with Fox providing the coverage.

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

Get Your First Bet Back – Up To $1,000 On Caesars!

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBD1000

CODE: SBD1000

SIGNUP BONUS

GET UP TO
$1,000 BACK

CLAIM OFFER

Odds as of Nov 1 (11 pm ET) at Caesars Sportsbooks. Be sure to check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promos before placing a bet on any Week 10 College Football matchup.

Tracking the Ohio State vs Penn State Line Movement

As dissected ever so astutely by my colleague Chris Amberley’s preview, Ohio State opened as a 3-point road favorite because Allar could not go in the second half of Penn State’s 28-13 win over Wisconsin, in an eventual win to keep PSU unbeaten on the season.

With Ohio State money flooding the books, the line moved as high as 4.5 points, before settling across most sportsbooks at 4.0 points.

However, once it was confirmed Allar was playing, the line quickly reverted back to the original spread. Despite reports Allar practiced all week, that wasn’t enough to tilt the spread any more, as it’s yet to be determined how compromised the PSU pivot is.

There was some slight movement on the moneyline, with OSU’s -192 line shortening to -165. Penn State’s long shot odds shortened  from +160 to around +140.

Allar Key to Penn State Passing Game

Buckeyes’ head coach Ryan Day said the team prepared to face both Allar and backup Beau Pribula, who filled in admirably last week against the Badgers, going 11-for-13 for 98 yards and TD, while also rushing for 28 yards on six totes.

But for the Nittany Lions to realistically be competitive Saturday, they’ll need a big effort from Allar, who has thrown for 1,640 yards and 12 TD’s on the year, and is one of the key cogs in Penn State’s current position on the College Football Playoff odds board. He’s helped PSU post 33.3 points per game, the fourth highest total in the conference.

Penn State quarterback Drew Allar is expected to play Saturday against Ohio State, multiple sources tell @On3sports.

He was injured in last week’s game against Wisconsin but has participated in practice this week.

More: https://t.co/GTfSGBqMaR pic.twitter.com/fgSHWbmSQH

— Pete Nakos (@PeteNakos_) November 1, 2024

Behind Allar, PSU pumps out 266.6 pass yards per game, a Top-30 mark in the nation. We should find out pretty quickly how he holds up, as OSU’s pass defense allows just 163.1 yards per game, which ranks eighth.

Ohio State’s O-Line Problems

As for the Buckeyes, lost in the shuffle of its 21-17 escape to Nebraska and how to ascend up the CFP rankings is an injury that could play a major factor Saturday and beyond.

Left tackle Josh Simmons, a certain lock to play at the next level and potential NFL first-round pick in 2025, suffered a season-ending knee injury in Ohio State’s loss to Oregon on Oct 12.

With him out of the lineup last week — and replacement Zen Michalski struggling before leaving with his own leg injury — the Buckeyes mustered 64 yards rushing.

This is a team that’s Top 35 in the nation, churning out 188 yards per game, and ranks second in the Big Ten posting 40.3 points per game.

They will need to regroup if they want to grind it out against the Nittany Lions, who are eighth in rushing yards allowed in the nation, surrendering just 92.9 per contest.

Penn State vs Ohio State Prediction

This is a prove-it game for both schools.

For the Nittany Lions, you have to go back to 2017 for the last time they topped the Buckeyes, having dropped seven straight. While Penn State is 5-2-0 against the spread in those contests, that’s because they were double-digit dogs in four of those, and there was a spread less than seven points just twice.

Burke with the Boom @DenzelBurke10 pic.twitter.com/b4jAcRsZth

— Ohio State Football (@OhioStateFB) October 28, 2024

Ohio State would love to leave Beaver Stadium with a no-doubt performance, with Allar playing well, to help their case with securing that all important signature win. After Penn State, the only ranked team left on the slate is Indiana, currently 13th.

The Oregon loss dropped Day’s record to 2-7 against Top 10 opposition.

But Day’s Buckeyes are in the driver’s seat here: OSU is brings a stout defense to the table, inside the Top 9 in both run and pass defense, and its offense should hold the advantage over a hobbled Allar-led PSU offense.

• Pick: Ohio State -3 (-110)

The post Updated Ohio State vs Penn State Odds & Expert Prediction appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.