- What: UFC Fight Night
- Main Event: Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier
- Date: Saturday, June 17, 2023
- Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada
- Time: Prelims (7:00 p.m. ET) Main Card (10:00 p.m. ET)
- How to Watch: ESPN
Following this past weekend’s UFC 289 pay-per-view card, the MMA fight promotion returns to Las Vegas for this Saturday’s UFC on ESPN event at the UFC Apex. In the card’s main event, former UFC middleweight title challenger Marvin Vettori faces another ex-title challenger, Jared Cannonier. Here is some background on Saturday’s UFC Fight Night main event fighters before we discuss the betting breakdown for UFC on ESPN 47.
Marvin Vettori checks in as the No. 3 fighter in the official UFC middleweight rankings. Vettori’s record is 19-6-1. Since losing his title fight against UFC middleweight champion Israel Adesanya in 2021, Vettori is 2-1 with wins over Paulo Costa and Roman Dolidze. He lost to former UFC 285-pound champion Robert Whittaker.
Jared Cannonier is the No. 4 fighter in the official UFC 185-pound rankings. Cannonier’s career record stands at 16-6. He dropped a decision to Adesanya in July and followed that setback with a win over Sean Strickland in December.
Before we look at the best bets for the main event of the UFC on ESPN 47 card between Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier, check out the best UFC betting sites and where you can find the best odds on all the UFC fights.
UFC on ESPN 47 main event: Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier betting picks
To Win UFC on ESPN 47 Main Event | |||
Jared Cannonier | +130 | +125 | +130 |
Marvin Vettori | -150 | -150 | -150 |
Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier betting breakdown
Marvin Vettori is a pressure fighter. Fighting out of a southpaw stance, Vettori is best when he strings together left crosses and right hooks. He’s also adept at firing, and landing body kicks to the liver when his opponent provides openings on the right side of their body. While he is mostly known for his striking skills, Vettori is unafraid of using takedowns and employing a heavy, grinding top game on the mat, something he did when he landed 11 takedowns and rang up over 20 minutes of control time in his 2021 five-round decision win over Kevin Holland.
Like his opponent, Jared Cannonier is a pressure fighter who relies on his stand-up striking. The difference between Cannonier and Vettori is speed. While both fighters possess a lot of power in their strikes, Cannonier is quicker on the draw and is more adept at landing fast counters. Cannonier is also good at throwing calf kicks with power that hurt and slow his opponents from coming forward, which tends to help him when coupled with his fast hands.
Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier statistical breakdown
When it comes to striking stats, Vettori lands more significant strikes and gets hit less often than Cannonier. Vettori’s significant striking rate is 4.38 per minute, and his significant strikes absorbed number stands at 3.65. As for Cannonier, he lands 4.00 significant strikes per minute and gets hit 3.86 times per minute. Vettori, at 44 percent, is less accurate than Cannonier, at 50 percent. When looking at that number, keep in mind that Vettori tends to be more active in throwing his strikes than Cannonier.
As for grappling, the numbers once again favor Vettori. He is more active in takedowns per 15 minutes (1.77 vs. 0.17), more accurate in his takedowns (44 percent vs. 25 percent), and better in takedown defense (75 percent vs. 64 percent), than Cannonier.
Vettori is one inch taller than Cannonier, but he gives up three inches in reach to his foe in this matchup.
Best Bets for Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier
This fight is likely to begin as a striking battle. How long it stays on the feet will be decided by Vettori. This fight could go either way if Vettori and Cannonier stand in front of each other and exchange strikes, and a few years ago, that might have been the outcome. However, with time, Vettori has become a smarter fighter, and he will use his wrestling skills when warranted to take this fight to the mat and make it a grinding affair. Cannonier has developed his defensive grappling skills over the years, but he won’t be able to fend off Vettori’s attacks for five rounds.
The best bet for the main event of the UFC Fight Night contest between Vettori and Cannonier is for the fight to go the five-round distance, and the betting pick for the main event of UFC on ESPN 47 is Marvin Vettori to win.
Best UFC on ESPN 47 betting pick: Marvin Vettori to beat Jared Cannonier by decision.
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